2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWhat happens if Elizabeth Warren endorses Hillary?
I think it all depends on the circumstances, which is a major reason I thinyk she's being so careful. If she endorses either Bernie or Hillary before Super Tuesday, she risks a lot. Endorse Hillary too early and she'll lose a huge amount of clout among her progressive base (see the lopsided MoveOn endorsement vote) and in the Senate. Endorse Bernie and if Hillary wins both the nomination and the White House, be saddled with diminished influence with the Administration.
I don't see her endorsing in the near future.
NorthCarolina
(11,197 posts)Bernie's campaign has a life of it's own independent of EW.
Renew Deal
(81,852 posts)cali
(114,904 posts)I think she's likely to endorse Clinton. I do think she has to be careful about the timing.
NorthCarolina
(11,197 posts)I like EW, I simply said I do not believe the viability of Bernie's campaign hinges on EW's approval. You can paint it however meets your fancy though since I am fully aware of the bitter feelings on the Clinton side in response to Bernies surges in the polls and the need for an outlet to vent, or make shit up, as necessary.
daleanime
(17,796 posts)not that you have anything to worry about in that area.
Response to daleanime (Reply #9)
1StrongBlackMan This message was self-deleted by its author.
Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)hate them. We simply think they've made a bad decision. This bus shit is straight fucking infantile.
Fawke Em
(11,366 posts)Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)Blue_Adept
(6,397 posts)I can't see her really doing it until things are settled for those same reasons. A lot of it really comes down to not wanting to be a kingmaker, instead focusing on the actual work. Which is those of us here in MA elected her.
fleur-de-lisa
(14,624 posts)She was my first choice to run as our candidate. If she does endorse Hillary, it won't affect my admiration for her.
I think she's in a tough spot, probably torn between wanting to see the first female president and, in her heart, knowing that Bernie is the better choice. I believe she will do what she thinks is best for the country and for our party.
If Warren decides that endorsing Hillary is the prudent choice, it won't change my support for her.
Punkingal
(9,522 posts)http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/12/09/why-elizabeth-warren-keeps-hillary-clinton-at-arm-s-length.html
snip...
'Its not surprising that Elizabeth Warren is withholding her endorsement of Hillary Clinton for president. Warren is a megastar in her own right, and her support carries more weight than the other 13 Democratic women senators who endorsed Clinton last month. Warren also declined to squander her box-office appeal by joining Clintons Massachusetts Leadership Council, announced this week, where she would have been one of many since the rest of the states Democratic delegation is on the list.
It is not personal, its business, although before she became a senator Warren was quite critical of Clintons relationship with the financial industry. And depending where you sit, and how paranoiac you are, Warren is courageously carrying the flag for the 99 percent as the sheriff for Wall Street, pushing Clinton to the left, or shes secretly hoping Bernie Sanders wins the New Hampshire primary and a panicked party drafts her into the race as the more electable progressive voice.'
I don't think she will endorse anyone yet.
Kentonio
(4,377 posts)"or shes secretly hoping Bernie Sanders wins the New Hampshire primary and a panicked party drafts her into the race as the more electable progressive voice."
I think she's better than that, and I'm pretty sure if she did then she'd lose. The author of that piece probably doesn't understand progressives if they think we'd just throw our candidate under the bus when he's finally winning just to support someone more appealing to the other side.
Punkingal
(9,522 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)But her window of opportunity came and went. She said she wasn't running, and even though some of use didn't believe it at the time, she didn't run. Bernie has filled the void that was left by Warren and has put a fantastic network of supporters and campaign workers in place, and has a good message that resonates well with a large segment of the populace. At this stage, I don't think that Warren could distinguish herself from Bernie.
Stellar
(5,644 posts)It wouldn't be fair to either. Plus, if either one start to do poorly as President, I think it would make her look bad too.
Segami
(14,923 posts)It's definitely an important endorsement but not the end all for Bernie. The Sanders campaign has morphed and grown since he announced his presidential entry.
Certainly, Sen. Warren would be a great endorsement, and she can only do more to add to the growing number of people from Massachusetts who are up here on the weekends already, knocking on doors and folding into this big Hillary get-out-the-vote machine, explained Sean Downey, New Hampshire political director for Barack Obamas 2012 reelection campaign and Northeast director of the Ready For Hillary PAC before Clinton launched.
But Democrats close to Clinton arent holding their breath for a formal nod between now and New Hampshires Feb. 9 primary, figuring that Warren has little to gain from backing the front-runner and a lot to lose in terms of credibility among her progressive backers who are now with Sanders. By waiting so long to take sides in the first place, said a handful of Sanders allies, she has already started to lose her luster with the states most ardent progressives.
Until Bernie really took off, Elizabeth Warren was the only voice of progressives, said liberal New Hampshire radio host and Clinton critic Arnie Arnesen, a former state representative whos run unsuccessfully for the House and the governorship. Bernie, in an interesting way, has cast a shadow over Elizabeth. Not that people dont love her still, but shes not essential.
People dont talk about her at all, added fellow radio host and former state senator Burt Cohen, now a Sanders supporter. I had a bumper sticker on my car urging Liz Warren to run before Bernie got in. The people that care about Liz Warren are all on board with Bernie, and theres no talk about her whatsoever.
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/elizabeth-warren-2016-endorsement-217731
emulatorloo
(44,109 posts)who it will be.
Dr Hobbitstein
(6,568 posts)Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)earthside
(6,960 posts)The charges of betrayal to the cause of the 'first woman President' will be atmospheric.
Now, Warren would be politically foolish to offer an endorsement until someone has the nomination pretty secure, so I don't think you'll see an endorsement from her anytime soon.
Sander's campaign isn't based on garnering endorsements, so I think if EW for some reason goes with Clinton it won't make a big difference to the Sanders effort.
Dr Hobbitstein
(6,568 posts)However, a very loud minority of Sanders supporters has been shitting on every single one of Hillary's endorsements.
PyaarRevolution
(814 posts)People that would change my mind on supporting her. The vast majority are part of the establishment and quite frankly Corporatists, INCLUDING Diane Feinstein(she supported TPP, nuff said).
earthside
(6,960 posts)... have been the insider, elitists that so exemplify what is wrong with Hillary.
And because this is a replay of the losing 2008 Clinton campaign: "the inevitable one" with the steamroller bandwagon.
Clinton's campaign is based on this endorsement strategy, so of course, her opponent(s) would have been expected to go after them in any event.
I admit it is easy to mock so many of Mrs. Clinton's endorsements -- no surprise and what one would expect from to one percent supporting the one percent.
artislife
(9,497 posts)I am in WA.
LOLOLO...you want us to get riled up.
Well, she and Bernie tapped into a movement, but if she doesn't want to ride it out, ok.
We are thankful she started the first few hundred dominos to fall, this is how we got to see there were a lot more of us in the nation. The movement will continue to grow. You see, it REALLY is about issues and not personalities. Go watch this:
http://www.truthdig.com/avbooth/item/video_kshama_sawant_delivers_a_socialst_response_to_president_20160113
Mnpaul
(3,655 posts)she wasn't there yet and went out of her way(in a very diplomatic manner) to avoid do so.
firebrand80
(2,760 posts)I think one exception is when the endorsement is something outside the norm, like when Colin Powell endorsed Obama. Or when a Obama cabinet official endorses Hillary, it's a *yawn* moment, but if that same official were to endorse Bernie, people would sit up and take notice.
That being said, since Warren is probably closer to Bernie than she is Hillary politically, I think a Warren endorsement for Hillary would be meaningful. It would somewhat blunt Bernie's attacks that Hillary in the candidate of Wall Street and the Establishment. If she were to endorse Bernie on the other hand, it wouldn't really mean much.
arcane1
(38,613 posts)I can't imagine anyone endorsing her that would change my mind.
Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)It will not influence my vote in either case.
Skwmom
(12,685 posts)who gives a good speech? I guess we'll find out.
cali
(114,904 posts)can win the general election. In any case, her endorsing Hillary wouldn't diminish the work she's done.
Skwmom
(12,685 posts)That's one good thing the phony "for the people" candidates have given us.
On edit: She can also be one of those who are willing to sell out and be "pragmatic" if it's to their benefit.
dreamnightwind
(4,775 posts)I'm in the camp that thinks, given her very public positions on looking out for the little guy rather than big money, that she absolutely should be working to help Bernie, or get in the primary herself, though it's probably too late for that.
If she comes out for Hillary it will influence my opinion of where Warren stands, as it should.
mythology
(9,527 posts)Anybody who doesn't support your preferred candidate is an opportunistic politician.
Let's take John Lewis. I bet he set out to get his skull fractured and be beaten half to death while peacefully working for the right to vote did all that just so he could some day get elected to Congress just so he could reap the rewards of endorsing Hillary Clinton. I mean sure he's a real world hero, but because he doesn't fawn over Bernie Sanders make him a fraud right?
I can't think of any words that would sufficiently express my absolute disdain for the idea that not endorsing/voting for Sanders is a sufficient sign that somebody is a phony. It's everything that is wrong with politics today. It's not enough to just disagree, but you have to claim that anybody who disagrees is morally bankrupt.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]All things in moderation, including moderation.[/center][/font][hr]
seaglass
(8,171 posts)MA residents unless she plans to run for higher office so pissing off Move On voters really shouldn't enter into the equation.
I don't care who she or any other members of the MA delegation endorse, just wish they wouldn't do it before voters get their say.
Blue_In_AK
(46,436 posts)in her position, I wouldn't endorse anyone until after the convention.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)cali
(114,904 posts)Wouldn't bother me; I expect her to endorse Hillary, though I think she's being politically savvy in holding off. She has little to gain and much to lose by endorsing Hillary before Iowa and NH.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)tularetom
(23,664 posts)But at this point, Sanders has picked up sufficient momentum on its own, so that Warren's endorsement is no longer that important.
The major downside of Warren endorsing Clinton would be the gloating that would arise from the Clinton camp.
ChiciB1
(15,435 posts)There are HUGE pluses and minuses should she do it. It will hurt me should she endorse Hillary because I think her views are more in line with Bernie's. If she endorses Hillary I would wonder why. For me, Bernie is more likely to embolden people to become a candidate to run for an elective office. I think many people don't run for office because it's hard to win against an established candidate because it's so hard. Seems to me she would rather work with a more Progressive Congress as opposed to having fight for every crumb right now.
It gives me the jitters, maybe I shouldn't feel this way but I do.
dreamnightwind
(4,775 posts)I think her endorsement, either way, will be hugely important, especially if she makes campaign appearances for the candidate.
I've actually been very disappointed she has focused on relatively minor issues in her Senate work lately, and avoided the much larger fight for the soul of the party, which is clearly what we're in the middle of.
She could really do a lot to tip the scales. I wish she would stick her neck out and help us do this, it's a difficult primary battle and the two sides are clearly defined. She can work for the winner either way in the general election.
Kentonio
(4,377 posts)But I think he's built up such a huge backing from the progressive wing of the party that it would just be a small glitch at this point.
I think the main effect would be to do unspeakable damage to Elizabeth's reputation and trust ratings amongst progressives. I wouldn't throw her under the bus, but it would certainly diminish her in my eyes and make me trust her a lot less just like it did with Sherod Brown.
If you say you stand for something, and you finally have a chance of achieving that goal and choose to back down and take a safer path instead, that says something to me. Bernie might not hold it against people who endorse Clinton, but many of us will remember none the less.
2pooped2pop
(5,420 posts)And many think it's Warren.
cali
(114,904 posts)INdemo
(6,994 posts)and with this last Republican style attack where she sent Chelsea as her attack dog I dont think there is a chance.
If Elizabeth Warren should endorse Hillary then every stance she has taken against the Big banks against inequality wages etc, than that was political garbage.l
highprincipleswork
(3,111 posts)I would still care deeply about Senator Warren and what she represents.
And I would still be a solid Bernie supporter.
ljm2002
(10,751 posts)...and that does make it unlikely for her to endorse anyone this early in the game.
We'll know pretty soon who the bombshell endorsement is from. I am awaiting it with great anticipation!
R. P. McMurphy
(834 posts)sonofspy777
(360 posts)...it would hurt her credibility
comradebillyboy
(10,143 posts)over estimate Warren's appeal outside the left wing of the Democratic party.
cali
(114,904 posts)bigwigs to endorse Hillary? Because she is very popular with dems of all stripes.
Mike Nelson
(9,951 posts)...she should not endorse so soon. She's smart to sit on the fence, now.