Brand New Ipsos Reid and Morning Consult Nat'l Polls- HRC 55% SBS 36%/ HRC 49%- Sanders 32%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/TR131/type/smallest/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20150901-20160112/collapsed/false/spotlight/1


http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/morning-consult-23500

[NorthCarolina]

1. Wow...looks like a Clinton tidal wave

Time to break out the party gear


and then you wake up.

[MoonRiver]

4. Thanks! Good news indeed!

And welcome to DU Andrickson!

[Agschmid]

25. And... They're gone.

[MoonRiver]

27. What happened?

[NCTraveler]

5. Great news. Happy Friday DSB. nt.

[taught_me_patience]

6. No many Clinton supporters left to cheer the news

They've been 'berned" away by rabid BS supporters on this site. The level of vitriol and hate against Clinton is staggering here.

[workinclasszero]

22. I'm scared to post here anymore

The knives are out for you if you don't back a certain person.

I won't name him, maybe that will save me from alert stalkers.....maybe.

[Lil Missy]

23. It's beyond tiresome, it's desperate, and most of the time completely irrational.

[DefenseLawyer]

7. I guess when that national primary election rolls around she will be in good shape n/t

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. I guess when the primary gets to heterogeneous Nevada and South Carolina she will be in good shape.

I guess when that national primary election rolls around she will be in good shape n/t

-Defense Lawyer

I guess when the primary gets to heterogeneous Nevada and South Carolina she will be in good shape.


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nv/nevada_democratic_presidential_caucus-5337.html


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/sc/south_carolina_democratic_presidential_primary-4167.html



Always respectfully,
DemocratSinceBirth
Proud plebeian and layperson

[DefenseLawyer]

9. Those polls are relevant, absolutely.

You probably should have started with those if you wanted to make a meaningful point.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

10. I post the polls at they are they uploaded to the net without prejudice or with as little...

I post the polls at they are they uploaded to the net without prejudice or with as little prejudice as humanly possible.

[DefenseLawyer]

13. That's fine, I'm not trying to pick a fight

National polls, and particularly excitement over national polls is always amusing to me since we don't have a national election. President Obama didn't lead in any national polls in 2008 until February 2. The January 15 Pew poll and the January 22nd NBC/WSJ polls both had Clinton at +15. As late as May there were national polls with Clinton up 7. They are interesting, but they just don't mean a lot.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. Thank you for your plea for comity./nt

[oasis]

11. Hillary will have a colossal lead after the next debate.

That's will be the end of the "revolution" and the beginning of coming together.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

12. And you couldn't ask for a better audience than the CBC.

All the scientific polling indicates she peaks after debates...It is only after a people forget how smart she is that her numbers begin to lower and plateau.

[oasis]

17. If Hillary is able to spring a "there you go again" type of zinger

on Bernie, the media will take over from there.

[Dawson Leery]

18. She is naturally gifted at debates.

As you said, a "there you go again" zinger will turn back the tide against Bernie.

[oasis]

20. Judging from past performance, I'm confident there

will be no doubt about who won this time. The gloves will be off.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

19. I supported Hart in 84 and Mondale stung him ...

I supported Hart in 84 and Mondale stung him in 84 with his "where's the beef" retort and it wasn't even true. But it was effective:

[oasis]

21. It's been a strenuous campaign for Bernie.

It shouldn't take much to get him rattled.

[riversedge]

15. Great poll to end the week with.

[Dawson Leery]

16. The Bernites have seemed to disappear suddenly.

I guess they now like corporate polls, except this one, and the ones showing Hillary still ahead in Iowa.

She has a chance to retake a sizable lead in Iowa during Sunday's debate.

[JonLeibowitz]

26. We haven't disappeared, we just don't see the point because the nation doesn't vote all at once

We are focused on the states as they proceed to vote, can't worry for example about California and New Jersey 5 months from now.

[John Poet]

24. Looks like good news for Bernie!

The national gap is shrinking.

What he needs to erase the rest of the gap are victories in Iowa and New Hampshire, and then we'll see what the national polls say (not that they matter all that much, right?)

[book_worm]

28. The national polls are pretty meaningless right now

it's all about Iowa and NH if one candidate comes out of those with momentum it could drastically change the national polls.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

29. I cited NV and SC polls

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nv/nevada_democratic_presidential_caucus-5337.html


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/sc/south_carolina_democratic_presidential_primary-4167.html


Respectfully, I believe you vastly overestimate the effect winning or losing a state with an extraordinarily homogeneous electorate will have on the states with a more heterogeneous electorate to follow but that's why we let people vote.

I would also add that the last three presidents have lost the New Hampshire primary while the last five presidents have won the South Carolina primary.