Obama Leads Romney 52-45 In New Reason-Rupe Poll

[TroyD]

Obama Leads Romney 52-45 In New Reason-Rupe Poll; In Three-Way Race Obama Leads Romney 49-42, Johnson Gets 6 Percent

Sep. 21, 2012 9:00 am

A new national Reason-Rupe poll of likely voters finds President Barack Obama leading Republican Mitt Romney 48 percent to 43 percent in the presidential race. When undecided voters are asked which way they are leaning Obama’s lead over Romney grows to 52-45.

President Obama holds large advantages among women (53-37), African-Americans (92-2) and Hispanics (71-18). Fifty-two percent of likely voters view Obama favorably, while 45 view him unfavorably. In contrast, 49 percent of likely voters have an unfavorable view of Mitt Romney and 41 percent have a favorable view of him.

In a three-way presidential race, Obama drops to 49 percent among likely voters and Romney falls to 42 percent as the Libertarian Party’s Gary Johnson gets six percent of support. Johnson is already on the presidential ballot in 47 states.

The Reason-Rupe poll conducted live interviews with 1,006 adults, including 787 likely voters, via landlines (602) and cell phones (404) from September 13-17, 2012. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.8 percent, 4.3 percent for the likely voters sample. Princeton Survey Research Associates International executed the Reason-Rupe poll.

http://reason.com/poll/2012/09/21/september-reason-rupe-poll

[NRaleighLiberal]

1. Wow. "President Obama holds large advantages among women (53-37), African-Americans (92-2) and ...

Hispanics (71-18).

Heck of a job, Mitty. President of all of the people...yeah, right!

[WI_DEM]

2. I have never heard of New reason-Rupe but it's done thru Princeton Survey Research

so I think it is legit, too, and matches the lead Obama has in the All state-National Journal Poll I posted earlier.

[TroyD]

4. It's just 'Reason-Rupe' : )

The 'New' in the title refers to the fact that it is a new poll released this morning at 9:00 am.

[WI_DEM]

5. Never heard of 'Reason-Rupe' either. But as I say it looks good.

[Marsala]

3. Brutal

Could Obama beat Romney by as much as he beat McCain?

[bigdarryl]

6. No fucking way Gary Johnson gets 6% nationally on election day maybe 1.5% is more likely

6% Is a lot that means Obama looses the 3rd party key in Allan Lichtman's 13 key system a major 3rd party by his standards is 5% nationally.BUT because he is coming out of the republican party if I'm not mistaken the key won't turn against Obama I have to go back and read my book to see

[LisaL]

7. I would think so.

[WI_DEM]

8. most third parties poll better than they actually receive. In certain states such as NM

he could get a higher percentage but nationally, no-way.

[Robbins]

10. well

I believe on election day the combined third parties will get 1 percent of the vote nation wide.Inless
you have a familar name who people like or one who catches on with issue they do better In polling
than In voting.

I think there Is good change it will be Obama 52 percent Romney 47 percent and third parties 1.

In 2008 It was Obama 53 Mccain 46 third parties 1

Call me crazy but If we keep up the Romney 47 percent comments may be his version of Mccain's
economy Is strong as Lehman Brothers collopsed.

[k2qb3]

11. Ordinarily it's true that third party votes evaporate right before the election...

Because people decide they want to actually impact who becomes president, but ordinarily presidential elections are very close. If the election is seen as already settled however it may not go that way, there are very few people who actually like Romney, there's a lot of very angry people at the margins of the GOP, the Paul folks and others who were stomped on by the rule changes, and Johnson is the best candidate the LP has ever had.

I'm more convinced every day when this election is over everyone will be talking about how similar it was to 1996. If Romney flubs the first debate (or blows a gasket and goes rampaging through the crowd with smoke and small gears /springs pouring from his ears) and it becomes generally accepted that he isn't going to win Johnson could do better than 6%, a lot of lesser evil/viability Romney voters would prefer Johnson.

In any case I believe the LP will get more votes this cycle than it ever has before.

Clinton 49.23%
Dole 40.72%
Perot 8.40%

[Blue Yorker]

9. Gary Johnson does not have 6%

This is a libertarian magazine. (Reason). They are pretending Johnson will be the first Libertarian to get 2% or more. Not gonna happen.

http://reason.com/about

[TroyD]

12. Gary Johnson would probably take more from Romney than Obama

So I don't think he'll hurt Obama too much.

He might attract a lot of the Ron Paul supporters who are angry with Romney for the way they were treated at the RNC.

[7worldtrade]

13. O UP IN NC - Fox affiliate poll NC: O up 3 over Rmoney!/exact flip from last poll

http://myfox8.com/2012/09/20/hpufox8-poll-obama-regains-edge-with-nc-voters/

[Jamaal510]

14. Romney has 2% among blacks now?

That's actually an improvement from the goose egg.

[woolldog]

15. Troy any thoughts on why

all the national polls have Obama up by around 5-7%, yet Gallup and Raz have the race basically tied? I don't understand why that is. But it's strange to me that those 2 polls are so different than all the rest.

[TheDonkey]

16. 7 weeks to go, we can't let up. We need to make sure that the GOP throw Mitt and Ann overboard

and we can focus on House & Senate.

Romney/Ryan are not good for America and every week there is a new warning to the American people that we cannot let that happen!

[cheezmaka]

17. and Romney is STILL in denial

When asked on tv, "Republicans are concerned about you slipping in the polls. They want to know what you are going to do to turn this thing around?" Romney says, "We're actually TIED in the polls..." How can a person "continue" to be in denial?