Another North Carolina Poll gives Obama a lead

[WI_DEM]

(and it's even associated with Fox, it looks like):

Here are the today's swing state polls, updated as needed throughout the day:

North Carolina: Obama 46%, Romney 43% (HPU/Fox)

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/09/21/latest_swing_state_polls.html

A poll of North Carolina registered voters found that 46 percent would vote for President Obama if the election were held today, compared to 43 percent who would vote for Gov. Mitt Romney.

That’s a reversal from the previous High Point University/Fox 8 poll in late August, when Romney held a 46-43 lead over Obama in the state.

Obama’s job approval rating was 49 percent in the new poll, also an improvement, said Martin Kifer, the director of the HPU Poll.

“We have seen a lot of polls lately that were very favorable to Gov. Romney,” said Martin Kifer, director of the HPU Poll. “The new HPU Poll may be an indicator that the presidential race here in North Carolina is shifting in a direction that is more favorable to President Obama. But we will need more information to be sure, and we’ll be watching closely to see if these findings are consistent with what other organizations are currently observing.”

http://www.bizjournals.com/triad/blog/morning-edition/2012/09/hpufox-8-poll-finds-bounce-for-obama.html

[Botany]

1. Although it is still a long shot Georgia is tightening up too 45 to 49% (Romney leads)

Last edited Fri Sep 21, 2012, 06:47 PM - Edit history (1)

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map

I wouldn't be surprised if Indiana went to Obama as well ..... lots of auto jobs there




Although Utah still seems solid for Mitt.

[TroyD]

2. Insider Advantage shows Romney +21 in GEORGIA today

So we'll need more polling from Georgia before we can say it is close.

[WI_DEM]

3. hopefully they won't add that bogus Insider Advantage GA poll to their average.

[Robbins]

4. Well

In 2008 Mccain only beat Obama 52 to 47.And Obama never really campagined there.If another
southern state turns Into battleground In the future It will be georgia.

The polls that have been done In Indiana show a 6 point lead for Romney.That's kinda weak.
Romney under a 10 point lead over Obama shows Obama has a bit more strength than some
think there while I expect Romney to win Indiana let's remember Obama outperformed some polls
In 2008 of Indiana.Plus any decent showing by Obama helps Donnally beat Murdock for senate.
I think we have a real shot at winning that senate seat.And the teabaggers will have struck again
If that happened.Lugar would have easily won reelection.

[WI_DEM]

5. I agree

I think one day Georgia, like Texas, will be a battle ground.

[TroyD]

6. How much effort is being made in INDIANA?

If we want to win the Senate seat we should be deploying some surrogates there and some more resources. And Obama might want to at least show up once so that Democrats in the state don't feel abandoned, and perhaps have Bill Clinton campaign one day with Donnelly.

I think the DSCC recently sent some more $$$ to the state since they think it is potentially winnable based on some close polls.

[WI_DEM]

7. I agree the Senate race is very winnable and I think Clinton would be a great

surrogate there and one visit from the president wouldn't hurt either especially to fire up young voters or minorities.

[TroyD]

9. I agree

I realize time and resources are finite, but it makes Donnelly's task harder if he is left largely on his own. He needs an assist from Obama or Clinton and so do the Democrats in the state if we want to motivate them to come out.

The state is still probably a long shot for Obama according to Nate Silver, but while he may not win it, what would be worthwhile for him is having another Democratic Senator.

Sen. Lugar announced a few days ago that he will not campaign for Mourdock, so there may be a chance to pick up some disgruntled moderate Republicans who are not happy with what the Tea Party has done.

[Botany]

8. I don't know but Bain Capital has a history of doing some slash and burn operations there.

Obama did win the state in 2008 too and having a tea bagger replace Lugar can't
help the republicans either.