PPP: Baldwin +4 in WISCONSIN (49 - 45)
Baldwin (D) 49 
Thompson 45
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_92112.pdf
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Raleigh, N.C. – PPP's newest poll of the Wisconsin Senate race finds Tammy Baldwin leading Tommy Thompson by a 49-45 margin. That represents a nine point reversal from a month ago when Thompson led 49-44.
Baldwin's image has improved a little bit in the last month with her favorability rating improving from 40% to 44%. Her unfavorable number has remained steady at 45%. But the bigger reason for the shift is that Thompson's image has taken a major hit. Last month he had a net +3 favorability rating with 46% of voters rating him positively to 43% with a negative opinion. He's dropped a net 11 points since that time and now just 42% see him positively to 50% with an unfavorable view.
Baldwin's turned a small deficit with independents last month (45-42) into a slight advantage with them this month (46-44). And she's more than doubled her share of the Republican vote from 4% to 10%.
By a 47/43 margin voters say they want Democrats to have control of the US Senate and the actual Baldwin/Thompson numbers are tracking that pretty closely.
“Tammy Baldwin is now looking like the favorite in the Wisconsin Senate race,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Tommy Thompson isn’t proving to be a very strong candidate in this race 26 years after he was first elected Governor, although he has time to turn it around.”
