2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum"Poll Shows Romney Losing Ground, Now Down By 8 Points; Wrong Track Voters At 52%"
Poll Shows Romney Losing Ground, Now Down By 8 Points; Wrong Track Voters At 52%by John Zogby at Forbes
http://www.forbes.com/sites/johnzogby/2012/09/23/zogby-romney-loses-ground-now-down-by-8-points-wrong-track-voters-at-52/
"SNIP...........................................
A new Zogby Poll of 860 likely voters nationwide, conducted online September 21 and 22, shows President Barack Obama opening up an 8 point lead over GOP challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. Among likely voters, Obama now leads 49% to 41%; when leaners are factored in and minor party candidates are included, Obamas lead widens to 9 points, 49%-40%, with 2% each voting for Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson and Green Partys Dr. Jill Stein, and 1% for Constitution Party Virgil Goode.
The poll has a margin of sampling error of +/-3.4 percentage points.
Obama has a 14 point lead among independents (46% to 32%), 33 points among moderates (60% to 27%), 36 points among 18-29 year olds (65%-29%), 11 points among 30-49 year olds (48% to 37%), and is down among 50-64 year olds by only 2 points (45%-47%) and 3 points among voters over 65 (44%-47%). The President maintains his huge leads among Hispanics (68% to 26%) and African American voters (93%-0%).
Romneys lead is only 50% to 39% among white voters and 48% to 40% among evangelicals. Obama continues his lead among NASCAR fans (49% Obama to 42% Romney).
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applegrove
(118,598 posts)SunSeeker
(51,550 posts)Tx4obama
(36,974 posts)applegrove
(118,598 posts)so outspend Obama in the 50 days to come, that Romney will win. Then I log on and see another poll putting Obama even further ahead and I get giddy again. It is quite a ride.
AverageJoe90
(10,745 posts)Look at the disaster he's already suffered so far in that regard. The only way the GOP can win now is thru outright theft.
gopiscrap
(23,735 posts)I would love nothing better than to witness arrogant willard crushed, along with that phony little shit lyin ryan!
regnaD kciN
(26,044 posts)How bad are Zogby polls? Bad enough that Nate Silver over at 538.com dropped them from his polling model for poor methodology and unreliable results several years ago -- and he still lists even Rasmussen. Bad enough that they had to rename themselves "JZ Analytics" because "Zogby" had such a bad reputation in the political world. Seriously, no matter in which direction their results go, Zogby is the bottom of the barrel.
ProudToBeBlueInRhody
(16,399 posts)Can't dance in the end zone over this when they were so full of shit for the last three cycles.
Festivito
(13,452 posts)And that helps all our campaigns.
bluestateboomer
(505 posts)It's important we still work hard no matter what the poll numbers say. Even if Obama is strong, we need to win more than just the presidency. All that super-pac money will be pouring into all the congressional races and if they think Romney is a lost cause they will just spend more to try and take congress.
Cosmocat
(14,561 posts)to a democrat ...