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Rochester

(838 posts)
Mon Sep 24, 2012, 09:56 PM Sep 2012

Odds of holding Senate have been improving recently. Anyone know about the House?

Nebraska and North Dakota are probably lost causes this time around, but it's looking like we may hold Wisconsin, Montana, and Connecticut, and Missouri, all of which were looking tough last month. And we've got a good chance for pickups in Massachusetts and Indiana(!) and an outside chance at Nevada and Arizona. Probably not enough for a filibuster-proof majority, but hey! Keeping the Senate Democratic can only do good.

What about the House? I haven't seen many detailed polls yet about the odds of taking it back. Has anyone seen any recent polling numbers? With a Democratic Congress we'd have better shot at getting some more stuff done next year instead of all this crap now.

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Odds of holding Senate have been improving recently. Anyone know about the House? (Original Post) Rochester Sep 2012 OP
I have not Jeff In Milwaukee Sep 2012 #1
Working on it! elleng Sep 2012 #2
Here is a link...not completely to date, not all that great yet for a Dem majority NRaleighLiberal Sep 2012 #3
Here's what I've seen Tx4obama Sep 2012 #4
And the most recent House Polls are listed here... Tx4obama Sep 2012 #5
435 district polls are very expensive. longship Sep 2012 #6
I don't think we will take back the House. Jennicut Sep 2012 #7
It will all depend on voter turnout. n/t Tx4obama Sep 2012 #9
Princton says it's "a distinct possibility". (74%) Waiting For Everyman Sep 2012 #8

elleng

(130,641 posts)
2. Working on it!
Mon Sep 24, 2012, 10:05 PM
Sep 2012

Give U.S. a Congress that works for US!

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longship

(40,416 posts)
6. 435 district polls are very expensive.
Mon Sep 24, 2012, 10:55 PM
Sep 2012

We see them, but only close to the election, and only in those districts which have a good chance to turn around.

That's why the House races always produces numerous surprises. Pay attention to this on election night because it may give a hint about the night's general outcome. If there are multiple R->D flips in the House when EST polls close, the Reps may be having a bad night.

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)
7. I don't think we will take back the House.
Mon Sep 24, 2012, 10:56 PM
Sep 2012

Democrats need to win 25 seats to take it back. I think we could take back some but 25 seats is really hard to overcome. I think the Senate probably stays Dem, the House stays Repub. There was a lot of damage done in 2010 but slowly but surely we could take back the House.

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