2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumClinton loses 3-way race with Bloomberg & Trump; Sanders wins vs. Bloomberg & Trump or Cruz or Rubio
Sanders leads in a three-way race with Trump and Bloomberg, but Trump leads a three-way race with Clinton and Bloomberg:
Sanders 35%, Trump 34%, and Bloomberg 12%
Trump 37%, Clinton 36%, Bloomberg 13%
Among independents, Clinton does even worse:
Sanders 31%, Trump 33%, Bloomberg 11%
Trump 37%, Clinton 24%, Bloomberg 18%
Sanders does even better in three-way races against Bloomberg and Cruz or against Bloomberg and Rubio:
"Sanders gets a boost in poll numbers when competing with Bloomberg and a different Republican nominee, like Texas Sen. Ted Cruz or Florida Sen. Marco Rubio. Sanders gets 36 percent of voters against Cruz, who gets 28 percent of voters and Bloomberg, who gets 11 percent of voters. The Vermont senator gets 38 percent of voters when hes up against Rubio, who gets 33 percent of voters, and Bloomberg, who gets 10 percent of voters. Clinton similarly held larger leads in potential match-ups with Cruz and Rubio."
John Poet
(2,510 posts)Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)DavidDvorkin
(19,404 posts)Then we would have a runoff between Trump and the Democrat, in either of those scenarios, and the Democrat would win.
Given the existence of the Electoral College, those poll numbers don't tell us much.
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)DavidDvorkin
(19,404 posts)Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)DavidDvorkin
(19,404 posts)I'm just pointing out that the numbers presented in the original post have little meaning.
DhhD
(4,695 posts)Last edited Mon Jan 25, 2016, 10:52 PM - Edit history (2)
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)Doctor_J
(36,392 posts)Either one of those would be fine for him and the rest of the owning class
book_worm
(15,951 posts)I also think that the national media and the GOP have not yet even begun to attack Bernie. As many Sanders people say they have pretty much ignored him. Meanwhile Clinton has been attacked by the media & the GOP & people know her--many people really don't know Bernie. So we don't really know what would happen once the attacks begin. I think both Sanders and Clinton could win.