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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Tue Jan 26, 2016, 10:47 AM Jan 2016

I normally report headlines verbatim but the MSM sure likes to hide isht contrary to their narrative

NEW ABC/WAPO POLL: Clinton is crushing GOP: 61/32 Rubio;54/42Trump;60/34 Cruz; 55/39 Bush http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/politics/washington-post-abc-news-poll-jan-21-24-2016-election-and-politics/1941/ … cc @TajMagruder



The peer reviewed research suggests the most efficacious method of predicting actual election winners is simply asking voters will win, ergo:


The results suggest that vote expectation surveys are among the most
accurate methods for forecasting U.S. presidential elections available to date

https://forecasters.org/wp-content/uploads/gravity_forms/7-2a51b93047891f1ec3608bdbd77ca58d/2013/07/Graefe_vote_expectations_ISF.pdf
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