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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIntrade. 79% - around 6 PM Fri
Last edited Fri Sep 28, 2012, 06:00 PM - Edit history (5)
seems to be going up about 1% per day. pretty good trajectory (yes, I know it is only Intrade!)
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Intrade. 79% - around 6 PM Fri (Original Post)
NRaleighLiberal
Sep 2012
OP
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)1. No he isn't. Stop lying
He is at 77.4%
NRaleighLiberal
(60,013 posts)2. wow - .4% in 5 minutes!
Voice for Peace
(13,141 posts)3. can you explain what Intrade is and why it matters?
I'm just ignorant about it.
NRaleighLiberal
(60,013 posts)5. From what I gather, it is where people bet on all sorts of results....
http://www.intrade.com/v4/home/
just something fun to look at - political polling sites reference it as well - RCP always tracks it.
I guess you could say that when money and betting is involved, it is one pretty fair indication of general trends - since people don't like to lose money!
just something fun to look at - political polling sites reference it as well - RCP always tracks it.
I guess you could say that when money and betting is involved, it is one pretty fair indication of general trends - since people don't like to lose money!
awake
(3,226 posts)4. Check out IEM
Iowa Electronic Market
http://tippie.uiowa.edu/iem/markets/data_pres12.html
IEM Daily Price Graph - Pres12_WTA
http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres12_WTA.cfm
NRaleighLiberal
(60,013 posts)6. now that's pretty cool to look at - thanks for posting!
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)7. Nate Silver Now Cast: Obama 97.8% Romney 2.2% chance of winning.
NRaleighLiberal
(60,013 posts)8. and that's yesterday's data...waiting for tonight's update!
Nate tends to update between 8-10 EST, though it can vary.
Texas Lawyer
(350 posts)9. The Iowa Electronic Markets have the President at 80%
NRaleighLiberal
(60,013 posts)10. kicking with an update as of Fri AM.
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)11. Just an amazing number wake up to
Here's hoping the trend continues