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Sun Feb 7, 2016, 11:19 AM

NH Polls: CNN/WMUR Sanders +23, UMass Sanders +17, ARG Sanders +11

CNN/WMUR Sanders 58% Clinton 35% Sanders +23
http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/07/politics/new-hampshire-poll-donald-trump-bernie-sanders/index.html

UMass/7News (Tracking) Sanders 57, Clinton 40 Sanders +17
http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-7%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230859.pdf

ARG (Tracking) Sanders 53, Clinton 42, Sanders +11
http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/dem/nhdem.html


RealClear Poll of Polls Sanders 55.0 Clinton 39.8 Sanders +15.2
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

Bernie is in very good shape for Tuesday's vote

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Reply NH Polls: CNN/WMUR Sanders +23, UMass Sanders +17, ARG Sanders +11 (Original post)
Jarqui Feb 2016 OP
pangaia Feb 2016 #1
Erich Bloodaxe BSN Feb 2016 #2
thomservo Feb 2016 #7
Alfresco Feb 2016 #3
Jarqui Feb 2016 #5
HereSince1628 Feb 2016 #4
Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #6
Motown_Johnny Feb 2016 #8
Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #9

Response to Jarqui (Original post)

Sun Feb 7, 2016, 11:22 AM

1. But DON'T QUIT!!..

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Response to Jarqui (Original post)

Sun Feb 7, 2016, 11:24 AM

2. Ok, WTH on National polls....

For several days now, I've been waiting for Huffpo Pollster to add the 48 Clinton 45 Sanders Reuters/Ipsos poll to their rolling averages tracker. Go back and check yet again, and suddenly there's a Rasmussen poll added with Clinton 50, Sanders 32, and still no sign of the Reuters/Ipsos poll. What's up with that? I saw AP stories about the Reuters poll, it exists, but it doesn't count for Huffpo?

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Response to Erich Bloodaxe BSN (Reply #2)

Sun Feb 7, 2016, 11:55 AM

7. Same thing with RCP.

wtf?

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Response to Jarqui (Original post)

Sun Feb 7, 2016, 11:26 AM

3. Enjoy NH while you can. :-)

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Response to Alfresco (Reply #3)

Sun Feb 7, 2016, 11:28 AM

5. ...

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Response to Jarqui (Original post)

Sun Feb 7, 2016, 11:27 AM

4. As Tony Beets would say...Lets make it happening on Tuesday n/t

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Response to Jarqui (Original post)

Sun Feb 7, 2016, 11:33 AM

6. It's hard to project a result from polling in NH because it's such a blowout that many independents

who support Sanders see that he's 99% likely to win (according to 538 and betting markets, etc.) will likely crossover to vote against Cruz or Trump because the Republican contest is so much tighter in New Hampshire.

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Reply #6)

Sun Feb 7, 2016, 11:58 AM

8. Agreed, the likely voter models are much harder here.

 

The size of the margin will mostly be determined by how many unlikely voters turn out for the (D) primary.


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Response to Motown_Johnny (Reply #8)

Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:07 PM

9. The size of Sanders win in up in the air.

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