My electoral map as of 2/13.

[center rising]

As of Feb.13th, I have Obama winning the following states. Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island, New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, DC, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Illinois, Iowa, Colorado, New Mexico, Washington, Oregon, California and Hawaii. Total, 266 electoral votes

I have the Republican, either Romney or Santorum winning the following; Alaska, Montana, Idaho, Nevada, Wyoming, Utah, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Arkansas, Missouri, Indiana, West Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee, South Carolina. Total; 186 electoral votes.


Tossups; Arizona, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina.



This is how I see it so far!! What about you??

Update this as the election gets closer.

[nevergiveup]

1. Agree except

I think Obama wins Ohio if the election were held today.

[center rising]

2. Could very well, but I haven't seen any polls from Ohio

So I put that on in toss up.

[LonePirate]

3. You have NV listed for the Rs and as a toss-up. Should one of them be AZ?

I think both will be solidly in Obama's corner this year. If Santorum becomes the nominee, several of those red and toss-up states will instantly become blue.

[center rising]

4. Stupid me!!! I changed it, thanks!!!!

[Robbins]

5. Only Problem

I have Is Nevada should be tossup.If Santorum Is nominee It should be leaning Obama.Romney due to Momon population has a
shot at winning but Hispanic population could make It a fight.

[Chipper Chat]

6. Obama should win Indiana again.

Romney is hated here because of all the factories he bought up and then closed causing thousands of Hoosiers to lose their jobs and benefits. And Santorum is, well, just too extreme.

[Bok_Tukalo]

7. I think the President loses New Hampshire

<OPE>

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

8. The president has a healthy lead in NH. I also think he'll eek it out in NC

He'll lost VA this time around. And I think AZ is a toss up this year. He really has a chance there.

[Robbins]

9. Well

The last poll of NH has Obama leading Romney by 10.So I think we can say It Is leaning Obama.Virginia Is tossup.The most recent
poll gave Obama a 4 point lead In Virginia.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

10. In my view, it depends re: VA. If Romney chooses McDonnell, a popular governor,

then VA will be much more difficult. It is not impossible, however. I just can't understand why McDonnell is so popular in the state. It's very weird.

[Kwarg]

11. Agreed

I believe it will come down to NC and Ohio

[musicblind]

13. I really think NC will go for Obama. PPP has him up or tied in every poll they've done and

they've done 16 since November.

But that doesn't mean it will be easy. His lead is between 1 and 3 points in each of the polls.

He will get a boost here for the convention, and then we need to focus HEAVILY on all of the college towns and cities to get the vote out. We have a insane number of colleges and universities in this state, and their areas usually trend very blue.

[LeftofU]

12. You missed one for the Republicans

I think you forgot Louisiana.

[CollegeDem20]

14. I have high hopes for AZ this year. The guy who is running for Senate sounds good.

He's a Democrat that can appeal to Indies and some conservatives. Having a blue AZ seat and Obama has already made plans to campaign in AZ means it will force Romney to waste his resources.

I have confidence that Obama can pull AZ over to the blue side, win OH, VA, FL, not sure about NC.


Don't forget about MO and WV; they may be up for grabs