HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Forums » 2016 Postmortem (Forum) » Nate Silver:Clinton has a...

Thu Feb 18, 2016, 06:04 PM

 

Nate Silver:Clinton has a 75% chance of winning Nevada vs.25% for Sanders

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/nevada-democratic/

12 replies, 1317 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 12 replies Author Time Post
Reply Nate Silver:Clinton has a 75% chance of winning Nevada vs.25% for Sanders (Original post)
bigdarryl Feb 2016 OP
Persondem Feb 2016 #1
morningfog Feb 2016 #5
Binkie The Clown Feb 2016 #7
Persondem Feb 2016 #9
Binkie The Clown Feb 2016 #10
Persondem Feb 2016 #11
Mike Nelson Feb 2016 #2
randys1 Feb 2016 #3
MohRokTah Feb 2016 #4
DCBob Feb 2016 #6
oasis Feb 2016 #8
Quixote1818 Feb 2016 #12

Response to bigdarryl (Original post)

Thu Feb 18, 2016, 06:07 PM

1. I just saw this myself. That's up from a 50/50 tie a few days ago. K & R nt

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Persondem (Reply #1)

Thu Feb 18, 2016, 06:16 PM

5. Nate flipped from Bernie up to Hillary up in the "polls only"

 

When the only additional poll was a tie. It was weird.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Persondem (Reply #1)

Thu Feb 18, 2016, 07:03 PM

7. This is NOT percentage of votes, this is an ODDSMAKER'S OPINION. n/t

If you ask the people, instead of the oddsmakers, the polls are running at 50/50

http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/17/politics/hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders-nevada-poll/

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Binkie The Clown (Reply #7)

Thu Feb 18, 2016, 07:21 PM

9. No kidding, Binks. Since that is the topic of the OP I figured that savvy readers would understand

that. Just so happens that the % chance of a win was 50/50 a few days ago as was one of the polls.

Lately "the people" have been tilting towards Clinton.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nv/nevada_democratic_presidential_caucus-5337.html

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Persondem (Reply #9)

Thu Feb 18, 2016, 09:48 PM

10. I'll tell you exactly who will win Nevada, and by how much.

First thing Monday morning. I promise.

Until then, nothing I say makes any difference at all.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Binkie The Clown (Reply #10)

Thu Feb 18, 2016, 11:25 PM

11. Now that sounds pretty sensible. Cheers. nt

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bigdarryl (Original post)

Thu Feb 18, 2016, 06:10 PM

2. The media...

...keeps saying they are in a "dead heat" and imply it's over for Hillary! ...they know nothing...we'll know after March.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bigdarryl (Original post)

Thu Feb 18, 2016, 06:11 PM

3. Remember, she could win by 1% and his prediction is still accurate.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bigdarryl (Original post)

Thu Feb 18, 2016, 06:11 PM

4. Not surprising considering her ground game. eom

 

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bigdarryl (Original post)

Thu Feb 18, 2016, 06:25 PM

6. That sounds about right to me.

Nevada Hispanics will give Hillary a grande victory!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to DCBob (Reply #6)

Thu Feb 18, 2016, 07:07 PM

8. Sweet.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bigdarryl (Original post)

Fri Feb 19, 2016, 12:07 AM

12. She had an 80% chance of winning Iowa and it was a tie. nt

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread