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Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:29 PM

Vox: The entrance polls said Nevada’s Latinos voted for Bernie Sanders. That’s unlikely.

Hillary Clinton won the Nevada Democratic caucuses on Saturday. She did so thanks largely to her strength in Clark County — the home of Las Vegas, and the most heavily Latino part of the state.

That's important to note, because entrance polls showed Bernie Sanders winning among Latino voters — by a shockingly wide margin.

An early wave of entrance polling showed Sanders beating Clinton by 11 points with Latinos. A later wave showed him winning by 8.

What really happened? We might not ever know for sure. But if you look at the possible scenarios — and at the entrance and exit polls' record with Latinos — the most plausible conclusion is that the entrance polls didn't correctly predict Nevada's Latino vote.

Clinton won the most heavily Latino parts of the state

Continued at link:
http://www.vox.com/2016/2/20/11079660/latinos-nevada-sanders

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Arrow 13 replies Author Time Post
Reply Vox: The entrance polls said Nevada’s Latinos voted for Bernie Sanders. That’s unlikely. (Original post)
Metric System Feb 2016 OP
FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #1
Metric System Feb 2016 #2
book_worm Feb 2016 #4
book_worm Feb 2016 #3
LexVegas Feb 2016 #5
KingFlorez Feb 2016 #6
TheProgressive Feb 2016 #7
Fearless Feb 2016 #8
book_worm Feb 2016 #10
Fearless Feb 2016 #11
DCBob Feb 2016 #9
Odin2005 Feb 2016 #12
Starry Messenger Feb 2016 #13


Response to FrenchieCat (Reply #1)

Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:32 PM

2. More evidence. Thanks.

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Response to FrenchieCat (Reply #1)

Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:34 PM

4. Excellent

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Response to Metric System (Original post)

Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:34 PM

3. Entrance polls at caucuses are not trustworthy

so small of samples. Given that Bernie won the white vote I can't see how Hillary won by 5-6 points without winning the latino vote.

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Response to Metric System (Original post)

Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:36 PM

5. Election results

In the 22 Latino-majority precincts in NV that have reported results so far, Hillary Clinton has won 60 percent of the delegates.

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Response to Metric System (Original post)

Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:37 PM

6. Most likely a sampling error

There is no way Clinton could have won had she lost Hispanics by 11%.

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Response to Metric System (Original post)

Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:37 PM

7. What a joke...next?

 

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Response to Metric System (Original post)

Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:38 PM

8. Reality check... THEY DID

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Response to Fearless (Reply #8)

Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:48 PM

10. Instead of looking at entrance polls why don't you look at real votes?

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Response to book_worm (Reply #10)

Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:49 PM

11. Umm... those aren't votes. Votes show numbers.

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Response to Metric System (Original post)

Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:46 PM

9. Has to be wrong based on actual results.

She won most of the latino districts.

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Response to Metric System (Original post)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 12:19 AM

12. Gee, exit polls were generally accepted as accurate until a certain STOLEN ELCTION in 2000.

Funny how the PTB have decided that they are now "unreliable"....

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Response to Metric System (Original post)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 07:14 AM

13. K&R

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