Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:29 PM
Metric System (6,048 posts)
Vox: The entrance polls said Nevada’s Latinos voted for Bernie Sanders. That’s unlikely.
Hillary Clinton won the Nevada Democratic caucuses on Saturday. She did so thanks largely to her strength in Clark County — the home of Las Vegas, and the most heavily Latino part of the state.
That's important to note, because entrance polls showed Bernie Sanders winning among Latino voters — by a shockingly wide margin. An early wave of entrance polling showed Sanders beating Clinton by 11 points with Latinos. A later wave showed him winning by 8. What really happened? We might not ever know for sure. But if you look at the possible scenarios — and at the entrance and exit polls' record with Latinos — the most plausible conclusion is that the entrance polls didn't correctly predict Nevada's Latino vote. Clinton won the most heavily Latino parts of the state Continued at link: http://www.vox.com/2016/2/20/11079660/latinos-nevada-sanders
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13 replies, 2837 views
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Author | Time | Post |
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Metric System | Feb 2016 | OP |
FrenchieCat | Feb 2016 | #1 | |
Metric System | Feb 2016 | #2 | |
book_worm | Feb 2016 | #4 | |
book_worm | Feb 2016 | #3 | |
LexVegas | Feb 2016 | #5 | |
KingFlorez | Feb 2016 | #6 | |
TheProgressive | Feb 2016 | #7 | |
Fearless | Feb 2016 | #8 | |
book_worm | Feb 2016 | #10 | |
Fearless | Feb 2016 | #11 | |
DCBob | Feb 2016 | #9 | |
Odin2005 | Feb 2016 | #12 | |
Starry Messenger | Feb 2016 | #13 |
Response to Metric System (Original post)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:30 PM
FrenchieCat (68,867 posts)
1. A map here....
Response to FrenchieCat (Reply #1)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:32 PM
Metric System (6,048 posts)
2. More evidence. Thanks.
Response to Metric System (Original post)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:34 PM
book_worm (15,951 posts)
3. Entrance polls at caucuses are not trustworthy
so small of samples. Given that Bernie won the white vote I can't see how Hillary won by 5-6 points without winning the latino vote.
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Response to Metric System (Original post)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:36 PM
LexVegas (5,415 posts)
5. Election results
In the 22 Latino-majority precincts in NV that have reported results so far, Hillary Clinton has won 60 percent of the delegates.
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Response to Metric System (Original post)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:37 PM
KingFlorez (12,689 posts)
6. Most likely a sampling error
There is no way Clinton could have won had she lost Hispanics by 11%.
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Response to Metric System (Original post)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:37 PM
TheProgressive (1,656 posts)
7. What a joke...next?
Response to Metric System (Original post)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:38 PM
Fearless (18,421 posts)
8. Reality check... THEY DID
Response to Fearless (Reply #8)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:48 PM
book_worm (15,951 posts)
10. Instead of looking at entrance polls why don't you look at real votes?
Response to book_worm (Reply #10)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:49 PM
Fearless (18,421 posts)
11. Umm... those aren't votes. Votes show numbers.
Response to Metric System (Original post)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:46 PM
DCBob (24,689 posts)
9. Has to be wrong based on actual results.
She won most of the latino districts.
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Response to Metric System (Original post)
Sun Feb 21, 2016, 12:19 AM
Odin2005 (53,521 posts)
12. Gee, exit polls were generally accepted as accurate until a certain STOLEN ELCTION in 2000.
Funny how the PTB have decided that they are now "unreliable"....
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Response to Metric System (Original post)
Sun Feb 21, 2016, 07:14 AM
Starry Messenger (32,336 posts)