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Sun Feb 28, 2016, 03:51 PM

Most South Carolina primary voters had made up their minds over a month ago

According to the exit poll, 60% (or 3 out of 5) of South Carolina Democratic primary voters said that they had made up their minds on whom to vote for more than a month before casting their votes.

So it seems that a large percentage of South Carolina voters had already decided even before the Iowa Caucus and before the recent spate of announcements of Clinton endorsements by prominent African-American leaders like Reps. Jim Clyburn and John Lewis--at least, that is, if the poll participants are to be believed.

Another 25% (or 1 in 4) only made up their minds in the past week (that is, 8% on the day of the election, 7% within "the last few days," and 7% "the last week".

Interestingly, although Clinton did better overall even with those who decided within the past month, the margin of her win among them was not as great as it was among those who had already made up their minds before that.
Clinton won 76-24 among those who'd decided more than a month ago, but only 61-38 among those who decided in the last month (but more than a week ago).

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/02/27/us/elections/south-carolina-democrat-poll.html


Looks like maybe Sanders was starting to pull off a few votes from the swayable pool in the last few weeks, perhaps after his strong showing in Iowa and New Hampshire suggested his candidacy was more viable than the beltway has generally allowed.

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Reply Most South Carolina primary voters had made up their minds over a month ago (Original post)
TheDormouse Feb 2016 OP
Mike__M Feb 2016 #1
TheDormouse Feb 2016 #3
Mike__M Feb 2016 #6
Herman4747 Feb 2016 #2
Barack_America Feb 2016 #4
NWCorona Feb 2016 #5
nadinbrzezinski Feb 2016 #7
TheBlackAdder Feb 2016 #8
elleng Feb 2016 #9

Response to TheDormouse (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 04:19 PM

1. Thanks for catching that

good news.
Interesting that there was no data for the "last week" through "just today" preferences; I'd like to see that trend.

(Also interesting that 97% considered "only Clinton" honest and trustworthy.)

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Response to Mike__M (Reply #1)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 11:40 PM

3. No--29% considered only HRC honest & trustworthy; 17% considered only Bernie so

So I think you're misreading that.

Of the 29% who considerd only Hillary honest and trustworthy, 97% voted for Hillary.

Of the 17% who considered only Bernie honest and trustworthy, 92% voted for Bernie.

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Response to TheDormouse (Reply #3)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 02:41 AM

6. OK That makes much more sense (n/t)

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Response to TheDormouse (Original post)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 04:28 PM

2. I wonder how many voted absentee ahead of time. n/t

 

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Response to Herman4747 (Reply #2)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 11:48 PM

4. A record number.

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Response to Herman4747 (Reply #2)

Sun Feb 28, 2016, 11:59 PM

5. 54,000 and 19k more than 2008

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Response to TheDormouse (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 03:18 AM

7. That is the kind of engine room check

 

That I like

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Response to TheDormouse (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 03:26 AM

8. Read this OP that highlights how ignorant some of the SC voters were, and how it was received here.

.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1344164


And William wrote "And I for one trust their judgement."



To which I replied:

Complacency and lack of objectivity -- One reason why things do not change.

So, it's good that people don't objectively research matters before voting?


That constitutes trustworthy judgment?



.

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Response to TheDormouse (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 03:35 AM

9. 'If we are going to nominate someone who 50% of our people can't stand,

we are going to lose.'

Marco Rubio

Goes for BOTH parties.

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