2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWhite Lives Electorally Matter!!!
I think people need to understand that, electorally, this is still a country that is dominated by White voters (much to my chagrin, because they tend to vote Republican). But with all the talk lately about the Black vote in South Carolina and elsewhere we have lost sight there is a bigger prize here and that is the White House and the path to it goes right through lily white picket fences, across farm fields, and down the street to suburban cul-de-sac(s).
Before you say "but the Democratic base is Black" please understand that even the Democratic Party was comprised of more white votes than any other single demographic in 2012 (this was Obama's re-election year, mind you). The good thing is, all those progressive White supremacist hippy dairy farmers from Vermont were able to pull off their white sheets and douse their burning crosses to vote for Obama just in the nick of time!!!
Look at 2012's electoral demographics at this link. Go ahead. I double dare you.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/08/26/demographics_and_the_2016_election_scenarios.html
What you will find is that in 2012 there were 79,000,000 white votes up for grabs. Aside that, there were 17,000,000 Black, 15,000,000 Hispanic, and 7,000,000 Asian votes. Altogether, the PoC vote did not equal the white vote and probably won't for a decade or two, maybe more (anyone have the projection on that?).
And what do we know about Clinton if we are honest with ourselves? Say it, class....she seems to have a White problem.
Nearly half of White Democratic voters in the Democratic Party don't really like her enough to vote for her (i.e. the folks that nominated Obama and the folks now supporting Sanders) and it seems most Independent Whites don't either. Then there's the Republican White vote...which I think is safe to say they really don't like her. In other words, "White voters just really aren't all that into you, Hillary".
The other thing is, a lot of White voters are pissed off these days. Call it White Privilege if you want but a lot of people have seen a decline or stagnation in their prosperity over the past few decades. Yes, it is mostly due to right wing policy (started by Reagan) but it has been aided and abetted by the Democratic Party as well (consider that we have had a Democratic President for 16 of the past 24 years as food for thought).
Outside of this stagnation, there is a real decline in life expectancy for Whites as of late. This is actually a shocking statistic. When you look at the reasons why, some of it can be linked back to declining prosperity and muted hope (alcoholism is part of that statistic). Some may say, "welcome to our neighborhood" which probably has some karmic poetry to it, but I don't think "a sinking tide lowering all boats" is a good political or societal goal.
The leaf has turned within the Republican Party and it is a seismic event that Trump is leading that race. We can sit back and laugh (or cry) but it is a symptom of something that is deep and cannot be laughed off. I seriously doubt we are 1930's Germany but it is scary when a guy rises to power using racial minorities as scapegoats and political punching bags.
The leaf is at least fluttering near sideways in the Democratic Party. The powers that be may vanquish the Sanders insurgency after all, but did anyone really predict "Mr. 3% Socialist Shouty Fringe Candidate" was going to give the Clintons a run for their money? If things get worse or at the very least fail to get better, continuing "Obama's Legacy" won't be good enough next time.
So, if what I say above has a grain of truth to it, be braced for a few things. Number one, believe it or not, Trump might win. Go to that website I linked and play with their electoral calculator. Adjust the numbers for the white vote a bit. It won't take much in terms of percentage change or turnout change to turn the electoral college Republican Red. The same cannot be said for the Black, Hispanic, or Asian subgroups. Number two, there is a very strong anti-establishment mood among working class / middle class whites. That latter point should go without saying but I literally had a Clinton supporter here say to me that she was not aware of this anti-Establishment vein. I was gobsmacked to say the least. Given that Clinton really is "the machine" and Trump is not, this is not a good thing for Democrats. The third thing is the Republicans are out of power, they are like Rocky after he gets beat in the first half of the movie: they are hungry, working out in the sweaty gym with bare walls, and chasing chickens to get back into power (just look at the last 2 midterms as an example of that). In other words, we may see a huge turnout of Republicans. If you think they are gonna sit on their hands because Trump is nasty, I seriously doubt it. Do you honestly believe they will fall on their sword for the good of the country when the Supreme Court is on the line?
But the above paragraph does not mean "pivot to the right" or "go to the center" or "act like Republicans to win"
Repeat....
The above paragraph does not mean "pivot to the right" or "go to the center" or "act like Republicans to win"
What it does mean though, is the value of understanding what the white electorate is so damn pissed off about. Many feel betrayed and abandoned by our institutions on the "Left" (I put that in quotes because our Democratic heads barely act "Left" when money, guns, and blood is on the line) and on the Right.
The reason they feel betrayed it is because they have been. Their prosperity was outsourced to the lowest bidder.
My older siblings can fondly remember when a high school education and blue collar job could get you a good lifestyle (i.e. before the Reagan Revolution). Now it is not uncommon to have college grads who can't afford to not go back and live with their parents. And those are the young adults that were lucky enough to be able to get a college education. The ones who couldn't are struggling going from one poor paying job to another.
My solution is to STOP BETRAYING THEM. Why this is so hard to do, I don't know, but I think campaign contributions have something to do with it. I wouldn't be surprised if large sums of money exchanged for "giving speeches" may also have something to do with it as well. Just a hunch.
My point of this post is not to denigrate or diminish the electoral value of the African Americans, Latinos, Asians or anyone else. I congratulate Hillary Clinton on winning and keeping the affection of the majority of people of color and especially of blacks. I am sure in some ways she has earned it, despite her obvious periods of time when she chose political expediency over what was right at the time. I am also certain the the Democratic Party would not be what it is today without those votes and their interests.
However, I think in our hubris of dissecting the path to the nomination we have lost sight of some current electoral realities which can result in some pretty serious ill effects if we are not careful. If the triumphant tone of those who may likely be on the "winning side" of the nomination think they can thumb their noses at "white states that don't matter" and act as if the Black Vote + Latino Vote alone can carry this party to victory in November then they are sadly mistaken. Math matters.
On the other hand, I guess Hillary Clinton can be thankful for low gas prices right now or all hell might have broke out (even more than it has) on the Left as well.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Good lord.
Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)RobertEarl
(13,685 posts)That's all I can say at this time, as I have decided to step back from the circular firing squad. Glad you made it past the alert. <grin>
Luminous Animal
(27,310 posts)but a lot of it true. Many members of the old DU would have actually read the OP and would have taken the time to respond to the OPs position.
The new DU on the other hand
.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)So I am the old DU.
William769
(55,144 posts)Starry Messenger
(32,342 posts)...nuff said
amborin
(16,631 posts)JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)You have a link?
TheFarS1de
(1,017 posts)On Wed Mar 2, 2016, 08:30 PM an alert was sent on the following post:
White Lives Electorally Matter!!!
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511400972
REASON FOR ALERT
This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.
ALERTER'S COMMENTS
Oh Jesus f@ck the right off with this mockery of Black Lives Matter.
You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Wed Mar 2, 2016, 08:40 PM, and the Jury voted 0-7 to LEAVE IT.
Juror #1 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #2 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #3 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: Just based on the tone of the alert this deserves to stay . The entire piece is opinion with nothing remotely resembling the claim made , it is one persons opinion and I will be damned if I am going to start silencing people for having a viewpoint .
Juror #4 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: You put a lot of thought and effort into this. I'd rather have the argument.
Juror #5 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: A discussion forum is meant to be a place to have discussions. There is nothing inherently wrong with the OP.
Juror #6 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #7 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Purveyor
(29,876 posts)Dem2
(8,168 posts)Makes me chuckle.
I think the piece is thought-provoking and not controversial like the title is.
Clearly the alerter alerted on the title alone.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)Kittycat
(10,493 posts)It does nothing for discourse, and only takes away from thoughtful discussion. too many OPs worth discussion on both sides have gone down in flames and added annimocity for this very reason.
ismnotwasm
(41,975 posts)Luminous Animal
(27,310 posts)ismnotwasm
(41,975 posts)During that magical time of white blue color worker jobs? He's talking 60's and 70's now.
Luminous Animal
(27,310 posts)ismnotwasm
(41,975 posts)Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)Thats why there was a huge black migration North and why Detroit is 80% Black.
It used to be a very properous city with great jobs.
History matters.
ismnotwasm
(41,975 posts)Well well. History certainly does matter.
JustAnotherGen
(31,810 posts)The tail end - the very tail - were educated (collegiate level) blacks in the late 60's and 70's who could have given two shits about a Union Job. They were the "shit just got real" moment for those Northern Cities. They are the people (including my family) who had money to overcome the Red Line and invade comfy cozy white suburbs.
You need to read the book - then come back to this point.
Some things to consider -
The start point was 1915. With so many white men at war and restrictions on immigration the labor was needed in industrial cities.
Look to Red Summer - 1919. Competition for housing and jobs and blacks being used as strike breakers added to that. I don't blame those black men - they had to get ahead - and unions tended to shut them out. That went on until the I Am A Man campaign in 1968. They did the right thing for their families. Makes you wonder if white blue collar workers did not benefit the most from mass incarceration - less competition - right?
Anyways - aside from a need for labor by white industrialists - that they could get cheaper than white men (still goes on today - white men make more) the book will also inform you on the economic restrictions and social limitations on black people (we wouldn't be real Americans until 1964/65) in the South. Examples: Inability to votes, inequality in education, oppressive whites only laws, black professions (agriculture, porters, home care, home cleaners) being locked out of Social Security. If you worked in a factory you got it. If you sharecropped or worked as a maid - you paid taxes but didn't get the benefit down the road.
You should check out the book. Stay awoke!
monicaangela
(1,508 posts)JustAnotherGen
(31,810 posts)ALBliberal
(2,339 posts)OK went for Sanders. Disaffected white voters angry at the establishment. Would you agree that could be a reason?
Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)People feel by the Democratic establishment has fueled a large part of Sanders' rise every where.
Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)While OK has just 7.7% African Americans compared to a national 13.2, they also have 9% Native American population compared to the national 1.2%. OK has 9.8% Latino, 2% Asian. 24.9% non white.
South Carolina has far more African Americans, 20% more, but less Native People, less Latinos, fewer Asians and far fewer persons who identify as more than one race-5.9% in OK, 1.7% in South Carolina.
For 'white alone' it's SC: 64.1% OK 68.7% and that's not much of a difference.
ALBliberal
(2,339 posts)JTFrog
(14,274 posts)wildeyed
(11,243 posts)[URL=.html][IMG][/IMG][/URL]
PotatoChip
(3,186 posts)Ugh.
wildeyed
(11,243 posts)Uncle Joe
(58,349 posts)Thanks for the thread, Bread and Circus.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)That is literally everything thats wrong with the conversation about race in America. White people need to listen to and care about minorities concerns, not the other way around.
Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)What conclusions you want to draw from that reality is up to you.
Dem2
(8,168 posts)Well, it is and it isn't. It's definitely worth considering, but let not forget that
states like ME, NH & VT are > 94% white and voted for Obama 2X each.
States in the South that vote massively against Democrats offset the averages quite a bit. Adjusting the generic white vote nationwide may or may not be a legitimate predictor of electoral college outcomes.
Gwhittey
(1,377 posts)Do you feel a candidate them selves saying they appeal more to white voters be a negative against a candidate?
davidn3600
(6,342 posts)The polls have been showing for a while that the Democrats are losing white, male voters. And it's not rich, white male voters. It's working class white male voters. These are whites who live paycheck to paycheck and put in a hard days work every day. They are not racist. Most of them voted for Obama in 2008. But now they a Democratic party that is increasingly vilifying them and completely ignoring their issues and concerns.
Those whites are leaving the party. And that could be a problem for Democrats in the northern, industrial states, especially Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, etc. If Hillary struggles in these states....we got a problem. There is already concern that union workers may actually be more attracted to Trump as he will likely go to a very populist message towards the middle class in the general election.
Seriously...if you are an average white male worker in this country worried about the economy and losing his job someday....how do you relate to Hillary Clinton?
joshcryer
(62,269 posts)Yet he still lost.
Why?
Because American demographics aren't like the 80s anymore.
davidn3600
(6,342 posts)If you are an average white male worker in this country, working paycheck to paycheck, worried about the economy and losing his job someday....how do you relate to Hillary Clinton?
Don't make the mistake of assuming that all of Obama's voters will automatically go to Hillary now, or go to her with the same enthusiasm. Politics doesn't work that way. Obama was very likable, even among white, working class voters in the north. His support held firm in the northern, industrial swing states in 2012. The increase in whites voting for Romney happened mainly in the south.
Hillary on the other hand is a highly disliked candidate whose negatives are as high as Trump. Remember, Democrats have had their asses kicked every election that Obama isn't on the ballot.
joshcryer
(62,269 posts)...vs multi-millionaire who made the lions share of their money doing paid speeches and selling books?
I can see it now.
Trump: "I am against all those Chinese people taking our jobs!"
Clinton: "Yet you were a huge proponent of outsourcing jobs. Your whole line of suits are made in Mexico."
Trump: "I used the system and everything my companies did were legal!"
Clinton: "Your companies lobbied to make the unethical stuff your companies did legal."
Trump's populism is fake, completely made up crap. Please, oh please, let him get the nomination. He will be eviscerated. The working people of America, the white working people of America since they're the subject here, will see right through it.
Oh. And let's have a really big talk about tariffs that Trump supports. Let the American people hear about how much that will hike prices for cheap goods. Never underestimate the will of the American consumer.
Trump: "I will put tariffs on Chinese made goods! I'll force their hand!"
Hillary: "Well, I, for one, would not like to see America look like Europe with VAT and extremely high import fees. The problem is companies like your own, who use tax loopholes and lobby the government to cheat the system."
And, yeah, for all the bluster, odds are they'll release a chunk of the speech transcripts (at least all of the ones for the banks). There's nothing there. There's a reason they kept transcripts. The Clinton's are the most highly scrutinized people in politics in history.
What you're not accepting is that the requirement for the white vote share for Republicans grows every cycle. They need 64% of the white vote and 30% of the non-white vote this time around. It's nearly insurmountable, particularly if women shift their vote for personal reasons (and yes, I am of the opinion that people can have whatever reason they want to vote for someone and if a woman votes for Clinton because she's a woman, that is not a terrible and horrible thing; I don't see the problem).
Gwhittey
(1,377 posts)but off in how Trump is going to attack her. See Trump was one billionaires giving Hillary money to do his bidding. She did not make her money because she gave sound advice on investing when she made over 9 million off speeches to Wall Street. Trump makes more off speeches than that and he was not a person trying to run for office until now. See Trump is going to change his message in GE, kinda how Hillary is doing now that she thinks she has it in bag. For pete's sake she is hosting a fundraiser that is being co-hosted by a NRA lobbyist this week. Why because she is going to try and use them to get elected and soft her I am strong on gun control she has been harping at Bernie about. Now do you want a candidate who is pandering to others just to get a vote? I mean how do you not know she is pandering to you on same issues that you like.
Remember the old saying "Fool me once shame on me, Fool me twice shame on you"
Perogie
(687 posts)Romney lost but Republicans control Congress and most states Legislation. Real change in this country won't happen until the Dems control congress and more states.
joshcryer
(62,269 posts)But you'll note those whites want John Bel Edwards types, which the OP dismisses. Southern whites want pro gun anti abortion candidates. It's sucky.
But the OP is about the presidency.
Herman4747
(1,825 posts)Romney got 56% of the white vote in 2012 (source: http://www.gallup.com/poll/139880/election-polls-presidential-vote-groups.aspx
Ronald Reagan got 66% of the white vote in 1984 (source: http://ropercenter.cornell.edu/polls/us-elections/how-groups-voted/how-groups-voted-1984/
Response to JaneyVee (Reply #19)
Name removed Message auto-removed
MaggieD
(7,393 posts)I can't even believe some of the stuff that gets posted here. We need a face palm icon.
betsuni
(25,456 posts)Perfect.
mcar
(42,300 posts)thucythucy
(8,045 posts)Perogie
(687 posts)The link is enlightening.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/08/26/demographics_and_the_2016_election_scenarios.html
The Democratic Party is only getting 40% of the white votes. They can't win elections since the other races are close to being tapped out. African Americans votes 93% for Dems. Latinos are 72%. They have to get the white votes back to change the political landscape of state assemblies and more importantly change congress back to Democratic control. That's when we will see real progressive change in this country. The ACA is being f'ked up because the Red states are not participating so it's not working because the cost isn't being spread among all the people. Draconian laws limiting abortion are being passed in Red states.
A 10 point swing in white votes is possible and would change the political landscape a lot.
If all POC voted 100% for Democrats it doesn't change the the map as much as getting 10% of whites to come over to the Democratic party.
joshcryer
(62,269 posts)White educated grows by 1% (which vote Dem) every four years.
The Dems are already earning the white vote.
Maybe it's not good enough for some.
But it's damn sure good enough to keep a racist bigot like Trump out of the White House.
Perogie
(687 posts)I don't seem to be able to find anything that supports it, but would like to have all the information available.
Great info, but it doesn't say well educated whites that vote for democrats increases 1%
"In contrast, white degree-holders who still lean Republican but are much likelier to support Democrats than whites without a degree rise a percentage point every four years."
Following the links takes you to an Electoral map showing 59% of well educated whites vote Republican.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-swing-the-election/#Latino:0.297%7C0.47,Black:0.087%7C0.662,CEW:0.592%7C0.772,NCEW:0.647%7C0.567,A/O:0.337%7C0.491
Well educated whites are more likely to vote Democratic that under educated whites, but they still mostly vote Republican.
They are the new swing vote.
Waiting For Everyman
(9,385 posts)I recomment reading the whole thing.
joshcryer
(62,269 posts)Give me a break.
YCHDT
(962 posts)the ALREADY economically insecure to be as alarmed as those who are not.
The other was to expect to go campaign against one of the most popular dem presidents inside the DNC since JKF and FDR, that happened to be endeared by black and Hispanic voters, and win their votes.
3rd was to spend too much of his introduction in parts of the country where his message was already heard with people who didn't like the aforementioned too.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)Saying that black peoples' problems can be solved in same way as poor white people. He might not actually believe that, but the fact that he turns every conversation that direction is a problem for him. Black people have unique problems and they need to be addrssed specifically.
Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)My original post here was to cast a light on something we have been ignoring here in DU.
Even though your post is a bit of a derail to this thread I am curious as to what quotes exactly has Bernie Sanders made that makes people feel the way you depict?
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)And it is subtle. I heard him addressing a black church (I think in SC?) and he gave a good speech. BUT, after a preamble about his passion for civil rights, and I believe he really does feel that passion, he pivoted right back into his standard stump speech about income inequality and needing to fight millionahs and billionahs. It's a good speech, but you could practically SEE the audience slip away from him. He should have kept that speech focused on black issues. My wife (who is a Bernie supporter, by the way) said this when I talked to her about it: "Of course he did that. He is a base and superstructure thinker.... he believes racism is a product of class oppression." My wife uses Marx in a lot of her academic work. So I do think Bernie can solve most racial inequalities through wealth redistribution. And he's not completely wrong, but I think he overlooks that even that redistribution would be tainted with racism, and that many working class whites have internalized racism.
I was glad to hear him say in a speech recently that he would focus investments in traditionally disadvantaged communities, but a black friend of mine reacted to that: "Why didn't he say black and other traditionally disadvantaged communities? Dude has a hard time focusing on black issues, even when talking to a black audience." (I think that was a speech are Morehouse, maybe... I dunno, I keep cable news on in the background while I work.)
Well there ya go. I don't wanna completely derail you thread, so I won't further reply unless you want me too.
Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)I agree that Sanders can seem like a broken record. I don't fault anyone for feeling that way.
It is not just a dismissal of Black issues though . There's a lot he doesn't talk about or focus on.
Again, thanks for you post.
yardwork
(61,588 posts)noamnety
(20,234 posts)I know it will be used as The Representative Post, but in the way that Albright doesn't speak for All Women - the same is true here.
Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)noamnety
(20,234 posts)Is that people who are in retirement or almost there are supporting Hillary, and people who still have to depend on finding decent jobs are supporting Bernie.
PonyUp
(1,680 posts)Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)yardwork
(61,588 posts)noamnety
(20,234 posts)We are both outliers in terms of statistics.
Neither candidate has a lock on 100% of any demographic. Anecdotes about exceptions don't change the big picture.
yardwork
(61,588 posts)Cobalt Violet
(9,905 posts)I also run a tiny business and would be exponentially better off if the average Joe and Jane had more spending power.
Go Bernie!
wildeyed
(11,243 posts)She has a better (or only) small business plan and I own one of those. I employ dozens of millennials too, full time and benes. When I make money I hire and promote even more.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Adrahil
(13,340 posts)I don't think anyone thinks we can win the general based on the votes of POC alone, but we sure can't win without their enthusiastic support!
To be honest, I can't discern what this post is actually about. I don't think supports any policies that alienate white voters, except maybe the fact that POC seem to like her?
Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)EndElectoral
(4,213 posts)Every vote for Cruz, Rubio, Kasich, etc is going to be compounded at the convention into one approved GOP candidate.
For example if the GOP wants Rubio to win - every Kasich, Cruz vote will go to Rubio at the convention. The GOP establishment does NOT want Trump to win the nomination anymore than the DNC wants Sanders to win the nomination.
The convention is about getting a candidate that meets the party approval. Unless Trump is able to get over 50% of all GOP delegates he will not get the nominations.
My guess the GOP approved candidate is Rubio. Cruz will be deemed too polarizing.
So we'll have a HCR-Rubio race or if the DNC allows a Sanders-Rubio race.
noamnety
(20,234 posts)The only other thing I'd add to that is that regardless of whatever arguments you are making about blue states and red states and demographics, it's most definitely never appropriate to be co-opting a slogan like Black Lives Matter to talk about the importance of the majority white people. I know I'm not saying that strongly enough - but please take a minute to contemplate why that is.
Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)..we white progressives who suppprt Sanders are furthering systemic racism which is apparently not ok but there is one candidate here, Clinton, who has repeatedly said racist things and promoted racist policies, but gets a hall pass for it again and again.
Until people own up to this it is a nonstarter with me.
noamnety
(20,234 posts)What you've done in your post is take the Black Lives Matter cause, which is about the basic right of black people to even EXIST in this country without being murdered in cold blood by government officials without repercussions, and you're riding on their backs and repurposing their message to make it about white people being marginalized.
Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)It is a play on words but it doesn't diminish the importance of justice for African Americans.
noamnety
(20,234 posts)"My title is to get attention of something we have been ignoring."
Your title is using black people's struggle for the right to exist to get attention of something that matters to you, the belief that white people's votes are being ignored.
You see it as a harmless play on words, but I think a whole lot of people will see it very differently. It is entirely dismissive of their struggle to say, yeah, sure that's important and all, but how can I use it in a clever fun way now to draw attention to my issue?
When I see that, I shut down - in the same way I would shut down if Bill Clinton tried to become a spokesman for a law protecting women from sexual harassment in the work place. The law could be the best law ever, but I'm not listening to a word he says about it because of where he's starting from.
Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)JustAnotherGen
(31,810 posts)The poster is correct.
Why not - White Voters Thrown Away - for a title?
Kittycat
(10,493 posts)Please, I'm a Sanders supporter. I understand what you are trying to convey here. I've been saying for a while that we need to see how things fall in swing and battle ground states. Indies out number both r and d. We need to make sure we support our base, but poll them to see if we appeal to them or can within our party beliefs.
But honestly, you can't use a title like this. Not here or anywhere. It diminishes what is happening all across America, and the value of the BLM that stands apart from voter awareness issues. Please, consider restarting this thread in a couple of days with a better title. Tensions are already high here, and this only serves to fuel an unnecessary divide.
Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)I am not going to apologize for the title. I think it is a good title and makes sense.
Also don't be surprised if Hillary is claiming "All Lives Matter" by November. If she wins the nomination she will almost certainly pivot in a direction that will likely be inconsistent with hiw she is currently acting.
I think people should be more upset with her and not me.
Kittycat
(10,493 posts)That doesn't mean it's any less inflammatory. This isn't about HRC, whom we can agree has thrown out any sense of decency when it comes to campaigning. See 2008 if there was ever a question of that, we don't even have to mention this year's issues to understand where she comes from. That said, this is a real issue - and I think you lose the value of discussion when you do this. And yes, you take a swipe at other significant issues - even if you didn't mean to, by trying to co-opt a message to draw shock and awe with an attention-getting title. As I said, your OP is very much worth the value of the discussion, your title demeans it. Do you think all this distraction served your OP value? Did you get the conversation you were hoping by putting that title up there? Probably not.
Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)My goal is to challenge people. It makes them uncomfortable but we need that to get them to think.
I really do not like "thought police".
Kittycat
(10,493 posts)This isn't about thought police or free speech. You distracted from your own message. Which was very challenging and thought provoking. Instead, you got a secondary discussion. You don't have to take anyone's advice, or hear the anger or frustration on how it was misperceived. You are entitled to free speech, but free speech doesn't mean people will listen. And it's a shame, because as I stated, it was worthy of discussion. That is all.
Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)That's how I am leaving this discussion. Anything else I said to you is up to you to interpret.
JTFrog
(14,274 posts)Just an FYI... Skinner has banned people for bigoted posts that have stood up to juries 0-7.
So, if you think that you got a claim to this shit being all peachy keen... Nope. It just means you got really lucky with that jury. Juries which Skinner has told us are heavily weighted 6-1 with Bernie supporters.
wildeyed
(11,243 posts)Trying to paint the "core constituencies" as antisemitic didn't work, so now you want us to all bathe in a bucket of white tears?
Divisive much?
Clinton does not have a "white" problem. Nearly half of white DEMOCRATIC voters choose a different candidate in a PRIMARY. There is no reason to think that the real Democrats who participated will not support Clinton in the GE. And many of us primary Obama supporters chose Clinton this time. So you are dead wrong about that, too.
Nobody is denigrating any part of the Democratic coalition. And we nearly all agree that white working-class and college-aged citizens are getting a raw deal. We want to improve that for them and for all Americans. It is not JUST a white problem. But racism IS uniquely a POC problem that needs to be acknowledged and give priority too. People who cannot deal with that are the ones getting all thin skinned. IMO.
Obama's winning coalition consists of black and educated white voters, demographically. So the calculator you posted is wrong. If you calculate the white vote based on educated/uneducated whites, you get a much better feel for how shifts will affect the GE.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-swing-the-election/
Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)By the way it is not my calculator, it is real clear politics calculator I believe. Argue with them if you want.
But if you want to keep burying your head in the sand, the last two midterm elections would like to have a word with you.
wildeyed
(11,243 posts)I will argue with you. Fivethirtyeight's is more nuanced and yields more realistic results.
It's on y'all if you don't vote in midterms. That is WHY we don't have a public option, better college plan, etc. But keep pointing the finger at others, see where that gets you.
We can do BOTH. Deal with race AND address economic issues. But not when white "progressives" are all up in black people's grill about which individual candidate is "best for their rights". Go see if you got bingo yet. You might be a winner already
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Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)I am sorry but I do not think you are honest or worthy of the effort it takes to carry discussion. That is something I rarely say but that is all I can say to you at this point.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)I have seen it stated the other way.
Very interesting.
#thisistodayswinningmessage
Jester Messiah
(4,711 posts)Pisces
(5,599 posts)Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)There's no code or secret to it. I am putting it right out there.
wildeyed
(11,243 posts)You ARE putting it right out there. That is a true statement.
grossproffit
(5,591 posts)Interesting.
Bread and Circus
(9,454 posts)AgerolanAmerican
(1,000 posts)Nominating Hillary Clinton would be a huge middle finger to the white working class who are still the bulk of the electorate in the USA and will continue to be for quite some time.
Even the uneducated know the elites are playing a ruthless game and that Hillary is their point woman in this election.
We can either harness and capture the just indignation of the 99% by nominating Sanders or be on the wrong end of that righteous fury by nominating the bankers' agent. It shouldn't be a difficult decision.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)and off-putting way possible.
That is, now as ever, a political truth.