Michigan predictions thread

[Ken Burch]

I'll start:

HRC: 55%

Bernie 45%

(possibility of it being closer).

Add yours below.

[HerbChestnut]

1. Book it.

Bernie 99%
Hillary 0.5%
Vermin Supreme's Cousin 0.5%

[Ken Burch]

5. "Vermin Supreme's Cousin"? n/t.

[HerbChestnut]

6. Never heard of Vermin Supreme?

Perennial candidate in NH. Actually got about 400 votes, which I think was more than Jim Gilmore.

[Ken Burch]

9. "Vermin got more votes than Gilmore" would be the most depressing bumper sticker ever.

(And "Vermin Supreme" sounds like the nastiest deli sandwich of all time).

[Scootaloo]

23. That or the best mixed drink of all time n/t

[morningfog]

2. I'm hoping for a nail biter, so I will say within 3 points.

51.5-48.5.

[liberal_at_heart]

7. That would great. I suspect it will be another exciting one.

[nadinbrzezinski]

8. People on the ground are saying that

so yeah. We will see

[BainsBane]

3. I'm going to say 60-40

for Clinton. I was right on Nevada. We'll see about Michigan.

Mississippi, more like 70/75 to 30/25, Clinton over Sanders.

[Cali_Democrat]

4. Bernie 92%.....Hillary 8%

The worm has turned.

[NanceGreggs]

10. Good one!

[Ken Burch]

11. Always wonder how you could tell that a worm had turned.

Do those little critters have GPS now?

[Kalidurga]

12. I predict the same HRC 55%, SBS 45%.

All Bernie has to do is not lose big in the states he is projected to lose and win big in the ones he is projected to win plus close the gap or pass Hillary in the rest. He's got this.

[Ken Burch]

13. Hopefully, this time they've got the GOTV thing together. n/t.

[Kalidurga]

14. Yes that would be helpful.

I am sure that is one thing that helped Bernie in Minnesota. Thousands of feet on the street knocking on doors and talking to people about the issues and how to caucus.

[Ellipsis]

15. Squeeker 51.5 Bernie

[Ned_Devine]

16. Yes...I think the tide has turned

[renate]

40. looks like you should apply for a job with 538 :) n/t

[Ellipsis]

45. ...just wishful thinking,

[RobertEarl]

17. 53% Bernie

I have a feeling a lot of repubs are coming to feel the Bern.

[RobertEarl]

39. Looks like I was maybe wrong

Looks like Bernie only get 52%, maybe as little as 51%.

[Armymedic88]

18. Bernie 52.3 - Hillary 47.7

[renate]

41. welcome to DU!

Good job with that prediction!!

[Armymedic88]

43. Thanks for the welcome.. Have been a lurker for A LONG time.

Had a gut feeling the rust belt is all Bernie!!

[jillan]

19. Bernie 51% Hillary 48% 1% other.

[ram2008]

54. Winner n/t

[ebayfool]

20. Okay. I'll play, with the caveat I'm the only person I know evah run off the blackjack tables ...

in Las Vegas for being a piss poor gambler Dealer said I was jinxing the table. Don't ask.


HRC: 48%

Bernie 52%

[Kentonio]

24. Wow..

[ebayfool]

25. Wow, my numbers or wow, my shameful blackjack past? Bwahahaha! n/t

[Kentonio]

26. I'm never that amazed by numbers..

Blackjack stories on the other hand..

[ebayfool]

44. Okay. This keeps up ... I'm going BACK to the blackjack tables! n/t

[JimDandy]

47. You got it the closest of anyone in this thread. That's one for the tables!

[ebayfool]

49. As a side note - got married there by an Elvis inpersonator. In a drive-thru chapel. Yup, lost big!

[Fearless]

48. That does make your screen name that much more suspsicious

Should we warn ebay too?

[ebayfool]

51. Naw - eBay lurves me. Unlike the blackjack dealer.

LOL - quite a weekend!

[Fearless]

52. Duly noted.

[Samantha]

21. If there are a lot of Independents in Michigan and because the last townhall was on FOX

and IF Bernie's organization approached the large Arab group of voters, I think Bernie will take it by 10%.

Sam

[superkona]

22. Given that Bernie's been out performing in states outside the south

Bernie: 53
Hillary: 47

Independents and sane republicans will carry him over the top. This is not the year "Likely Voters" will predict final outcomes.

[renate]

42. welcome to DU!

[lunasun]

53. true all around this time

[putitinD]

27. Michigan ain't the bible belt, Sanders 55%- HRC 45%

[longship]

31. Michigan ain't the Bible Belt?

Tell that to the DeVoss family and their Dutch Calvinist brethren in Grand Rapids.

They are the buckle on America's Bible Bra, as the sadly now gone Reasonable Doubts podcast said. Fortunately, their archive lives on. Check it out. Intelligent religious discussion, with a lot of good humor. They will be sadly missed as one of the best podcasts ever.

[Art_from_Ark]

56. I think "Bible Belt" refers mainly to states where "evangelical" denominations

collectively make up the largest religious affiliation.

[longship]

28. I predict that tomorrow afternoon I will drive to my township hall and vote for Bernie!

It is a circuitous route of about 15 miles, trying to stay on the few paved roads in my township and going around the national forest here. As the crow flies, it is a much shorter distance, but there are no roads, paved or otherwise, that go there.

At my age, I am going to go on permanent absentee ballot starting in November. Getting to the polls here is a pain in the ass.

Good luck to all your Democratic candidates. Vote early and vote often!

[Ken Burch]

29. Thank you. n/t.

[Broward]

30. I predict more lies from Hillary by the time the day is done

and nothing but the truth from Bernie.

[JimDandy]

32. Bernie: 47.5% Clinton: 51.5%

Last edited Wed Mar 9, 2016, 02:14 AM - Edit history (1)

He just has to get through the 15th and it's all good for him from there. In my state, WA, which is the state that has given the most financial support to Bernie, our GOTV is seriously aiming for 100 out of 101 delegates for Bernie in our caucuses on March 26th.

[JimDandy]

46. I am ecstatic my prediction was nearly the reverse!! Woo hoo!

[bigwillq]

33. Mrs. Clinton +10

seems about right, Ken, so I will also go with that number.

I am not very good at these games, though. lol

[Fearless]

50. Never a truer statement was uttered.

[bigwillq]

58. I was Nate Silver wrong.

My apologizes. This is why I rarely play these games. Lol

[alcibiades_mystery]

34. HRC: 52.5% BS: 47.5%

[itsrobert]

35. Clinton beats expectations: 52.8 Clinton 46.3 Sanders

thanks

[Hell Hath No Fury]

36. Clinton by four -

That's about as close as I can predict.

[NCTraveler]

37. Clinton by six. Agree with RobertEarl above. Republicans will keep it close for Sanders.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511439929

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511435385

[ram2008]

38. Hillary +13, Hillary: 56 - Bernie 43

That's my hunch at least.

[silvershadow]

55. 51/49 Bernie. nt

[Jester Messiah]

57. Turned out "closer" indeed! :D n/t