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Chichiri

(4,667 posts)
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 04:28 PM Mar 2016

538's final projection for Mississippi: Clinton 79.3, Sanders 14.5.

The confidence intervals are fairly wide, meaning that the actual result may end up a fair bit farther away -- however, they trend outward, meaning Hillary will likely take more than 79.3%. If Bernie gets less than 15% of the vote, he will take no delegates from this state.

Mississippi has 33 delegates; Hillary leads Bernie by 199.

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538's final projection for Mississippi: Clinton 79.3, Sanders 14.5. (Original Post) Chichiri Mar 2016 OP
Wow. metroins Mar 2016 #1
No delegates for Bernie? Has there been a Sanders sighting in Mississippi? oasis Mar 2016 #2
K & R! BlueMTexpat Mar 2016 #3
Post removed Post removed Mar 2016 #4
I don't think I'd say that at all. MineralMan Mar 2016 #7
Born and raised there.nt ladjf Mar 2016 #9
Well, see...you're from there. MineralMan Mar 2016 #10
Many years ago I developed a political outcome prediction strategy that ladjf Mar 2016 #11
I'll be surprised if Bernie fails to meet the 15% threshold. MineralMan Mar 2016 #5
African Americans make up a large proportion of Democratic voters in Mississippi Freddie Stubbs Mar 2016 #6
I would be shocked if Bernie met the threshold in that state so it's moot. Autumn Mar 2016 #8
... alcibiades_mystery Mar 2016 #12
VERY ENCOURAGING news! Thanks for posting this!! NurseJackie Mar 2016 #13
I did my part for Bernie and voted for him today. Aerows Mar 2016 #14
Anyone know when the results will start coming in? NWCorona Mar 2016 #15
I'm sure Mississippi will be called a win for Hillary immediately . . . Chichiri Mar 2016 #16
I'm sure. I just like to see the percentages even though NWCorona Mar 2016 #18
I don't think he'll be locked out either. But we can dream. nt Chichiri Mar 2016 #19
Hey, I'm a Bernie supporter but I can understand where you are NWCorona Mar 2016 #20
Thanks, you too! nt Chichiri Mar 2016 #21
8pm for Mississippi, 9pm for Michigan CalvinballPro Mar 2016 #17

Response to Chichiri (Original post)

MineralMan

(146,286 posts)
7. I don't think I'd say that at all.
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 04:48 PM
Mar 2016

I think it has a different point of view than some other states, but I'm not sure I'd use that descriptor.

I've never lived there, of course, so I have no real way to judge the people of Mississippi. I assume you're more familiar with the state, based on your own experience. You do live there, right?

MineralMan

(146,286 posts)
10. Well, see...you're from there.
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 04:50 PM
Mar 2016

So, I guess you'd have first-hand knowledge of the enlightenment measure scale of the people there. I've only passed through the state a few times. Maybe I met the wrong people, because the ones I met seemed like reasonable, smart people.

ladjf

(17,320 posts)
11. Many years ago I developed a political outcome prediction strategy that
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 04:52 PM
Mar 2016

almost always turned out as I predicted. Simple. I would decide what is the worst possible political move they could make and that what they almost always did. There were some exceptions but not many.

MineralMan

(146,286 posts)
5. I'll be surprised if Bernie fails to meet the 15% threshold.
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 04:47 PM
Mar 2016

That would be a shocking result, even in Mississippi. If he got zero delegates in that state, it would be a crushing loss for him.

I think he'll probably get 20% in that state. But I'm not 538, so my projection is based on a lot less information than they have.

 

Aerows

(39,961 posts)
14. I did my part for Bernie and voted for him today.
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 07:32 PM
Mar 2016

It seems strange to me because there are quite a few folks in my area that support him. I've encouraged everyone that is a Democrat to make their voices heard. It is out of my hands at this point, but there is still an hour and a half before the polls close.

I went to the polls and cast my vote for Bernie with a clear conscience and no regrets.

Chichiri

(4,667 posts)
16. I'm sure Mississippi will be called a win for Hillary immediately . . .
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 07:39 PM
Mar 2016

. . . and it'll be over the next few hours that results start coming in.

NWCorona

(8,541 posts)
18. I'm sure. I just like to see the percentages even though
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 07:41 PM
Mar 2016

It will be a blow out. I don’t think he'll be locked out tho

NWCorona

(8,541 posts)
20. Hey, I'm a Bernie supporter but I can understand where you are
Tue Mar 8, 2016, 08:08 PM
Mar 2016

Coming from lol! It should be a wild night.

Good luck!

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