2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum538's final projection for Mississippi: Clinton 79.3, Sanders 14.5.
The confidence intervals are fairly wide, meaning that the actual result may end up a fair bit farther away -- however, they trend outward, meaning Hillary will likely take more than 79.3%. If Bernie gets less than 15% of the vote, he will take no delegates from this state.
Mississippi has 33 delegates; Hillary leads Bernie by 199.
Just wow.
oasis
(49,376 posts)BlueMTexpat
(15,366 posts)Response to Chichiri (Original post)
Post removed
MineralMan
(146,286 posts)I think it has a different point of view than some other states, but I'm not sure I'd use that descriptor.
I've never lived there, of course, so I have no real way to judge the people of Mississippi. I assume you're more familiar with the state, based on your own experience. You do live there, right?
ladjf
(17,320 posts)MineralMan
(146,286 posts)So, I guess you'd have first-hand knowledge of the enlightenment measure scale of the people there. I've only passed through the state a few times. Maybe I met the wrong people, because the ones I met seemed like reasonable, smart people.
ladjf
(17,320 posts)almost always turned out as I predicted. Simple. I would decide what is the worst possible political move they could make and that what they almost always did. There were some exceptions but not many.
MineralMan
(146,286 posts)That would be a shocking result, even in Mississippi. If he got zero delegates in that state, it would be a crushing loss for him.
I think he'll probably get 20% in that state. But I'm not 538, so my projection is based on a lot less information than they have.
Freddie Stubbs
(29,853 posts)Autumn
(45,049 posts)alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Aerows
(39,961 posts)It seems strange to me because there are quite a few folks in my area that support him. I've encouraged everyone that is a Democrat to make their voices heard. It is out of my hands at this point, but there is still an hour and a half before the polls close.
I went to the polls and cast my vote for Bernie with a clear conscience and no regrets.
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)Chichiri
(4,667 posts). . . and it'll be over the next few hours that results start coming in.
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)It will be a blow out. I dont think he'll be locked out tho
Chichiri
(4,667 posts)NWCorona
(8,541 posts)Coming from lol! It should be a wild night.
Good luck!
Chichiri
(4,667 posts)CalvinballPro
(1,019 posts)That poor state, split between two time zones.