2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBTRTN's Super Tuesday (March 15 Version) Predictions....
Sure, Bernie will win one, and Kasich, too, but it is shaping up to be another very good day for Hillary and The Donald...
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2016/03/march-15-predictions-kasich-stays-rubio.html
winter is coming
(11,785 posts)Ruby the Liberal
(26,216 posts)tgards79
(1,415 posts)...we'll see if it happens again!
oberliner
(58,724 posts)At least in Idaho - which must be a tough state to predict.
It will be interesting to see what happens today - lots of pundits have been off on quite a few states to this point.
tgards79
(1,415 posts)No one is perfect but I hold our record up to anyone, starting with calling Cruz to win Iowa which Nate got wrong and so did many others.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)Just saying that outcomes have been surprising a lot of folks!
tgards79
(1,415 posts)You are correct, some surprises -- but mostly not, especially with big primaries - Michigan aside!
tgards79
(1,415 posts)...but we'll see. The marh is still impossible for Bernie.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,704 posts)I defer to nobody in my reliance on quantitative analysis but I would be less than candid if I didn't concede the Michigan polling debacle has given me pause.
OTOH, I would like to think it was a black swan event. I am not going to recommend taking up smoking because Uncle Joe who smoked four packs of cigarettes a day lived to be ninety when his life was taken by being hit by a car.