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Chichiri

(4,667 posts)
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 04:15 PM Mar 2016

108%.

Bernie supporters are talking about how seven of the next eight states -- Idaho, Utah, Alaska, Hawaii, Washington, Wisconsin, Wyoming -- are favorable to Bernie; indeed, they're probably the best states remaining for him in the calendar. Combined, those states offer 298 delegates. Bernie's deficit, factoring in today's results from Democrats Abroad, is 321 delegates.

Bernie needs to win an average of 108% from these seven states in order to catch up to Hillary.

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108%. (Original Post) Chichiri Mar 2016 OP
We're in this for the long haul CoffeeCat Mar 2016 #1
You may be right! Except . . . Chichiri Mar 2016 #2
Actually, there's one voice in your group that says her lead will be halved in two weeks... brooklynite Mar 2016 #3
Two weeks? Let's see here . . . Chichiri Mar 2016 #5
It is doable cosmicone Mar 2016 #4

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
1. We're in this for the long haul
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 04:34 PM
Mar 2016

No one is talking about "catching up" at the end of next week. LOL!

We're talking about the possibility of slowly catching up--from now, until we reach the convention.

It's steep climb, indeed. It's certainly not impossible.

What is positive for the Bernie campaign, is that this stretch of states that favor Bernie (he'll most likely win the majority of the next eight states) is that this will, once again, change the trajectory of the race. The media will begin paying attention again, "Can Bernie Sanders really catch up to Hillary?". The campaign will be invigorated with new hope. We'll see plenty of evidence of that on and offline.

Washington State has 100 delegates. It's entirely possible that Bernie would win 60-75 percent of those delegates. That would certainly cut into Clinton's delegate lead in a very noticeable way.

When this happens, it's an opportunity for Bernie. Entering the remaining states with a campaign that is re-charged, re-energized and reaffirmed with several decent wins--could boost his numbers in the upcoming eastern seaboard states. Anytime you get an "opportunity" like this, it makes Clinton vulnerable because the nation could experience "buyer's remorse".

This is why Bernie is staying in. A lot can happen. A great deal can change. No guarantees, and of course it's going to be hard-fought for sure. But it is possible!

Chichiri

(4,667 posts)
2. You may be right! Except . . .
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 04:42 PM
Mar 2016

You guys were saying the same thing after New Hampshire.

And Nevada.

And the March 5-6 states.

And certainly after Michigan.

It hasn't really worked out that way.

Chichiri

(4,667 posts)
5. Two weeks? Let's see here . . .
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 06:50 PM
Mar 2016

359 delegates in the next two weeks, if we include Wisconsin on April 5. 161 delegates to halve Hillary's lead, and then split the remaining 198 delegates down the middle, which would require 260 delegates, or 72.4%.

So this person is saying that Bernie will win each of the next seven states by an average of 72.4%.


 

cosmicone

(11,014 posts)
4. It is doable
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 05:07 PM
Mar 2016

We just need millions of Bernie signs, yuuuge Bernie rallies and all the millennials to come and vote.

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