2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBernie is less than 300 pledged delegates behind now (298). If he wins like he did last night....
Bernie is maintaining and slightly closing the gap. With his recent wins, he has narrowed the gap from 324 to 298.
While it is in the right direction, it hasn't significantly altered the percentage of the remaining delegates needed: 57.9%.
There are 242 pledged delegates, from AK, HI, WI, and WY, in play between now and the big state of NY on April 19, where 247 PDs are up for grabs.
If Bernie wins with 78% of the vote and pledged delegates in AK, HI, WI, and WY, as he did in Idaho and Utah, he would cut Hillary's PD lead by 136. That would put him to within 162 going into NY.
ViseGrip
(3,133 posts)as he is now 20pts. over!
Yuugal
(2,281 posts)The more they think they are ahead the less will show up.
thereismore
(13,326 posts)marions ghost
(19,841 posts)it's up to you right now!
72DejaVu
(1,545 posts)morningfog
(18,115 posts)Lorien
(31,935 posts)because they'll keep pulling these stunts if he doesn't.
WhiteTara
(29,704 posts)That's absurd.
Ferd Berfel
(3,687 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)which are small states with not all that many delegates. The primaries coming up starting with New York and including Pennsylvania and New Jersey are closed primaries where Bernie doesn't do all that well in because it's Democrats only voting.
It's also highly unlikely he is going to win Washington State and Wisconsin by the margins he did in Utah and Idaho.
Blue_In_AK
(46,436 posts)the west IS the best, just like Jim Morrison said.
AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)Number23
(24,544 posts)And that's not including those bad people, the super delegates. And even using your scenario, being down 162 delegates is still a huge challenge to overcome.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)No way to cut it, though, he has a huge deficit to overcome.
Bill USA
(6,436 posts)https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/hillary-clinton-for-president-20160323?page=3
morningfog
(18,115 posts)Tough, steep, nearly impossible hill to climb for sure.