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morningfog

(18,115 posts)
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 04:35 PM Mar 2016

Bernie is less than 300 pledged delegates behind now (298). If he wins like he did last night....

Bernie is maintaining and slightly closing the gap. With his recent wins, he has narrowed the gap from 324 to 298.

While it is in the right direction, it hasn't significantly altered the percentage of the remaining delegates needed: 57.9%.

There are 242 pledged delegates, from AK, HI, WI, and WY, in play between now and the big state of NY on April 19, where 247 PDs are up for grabs.


If Bernie wins with 78% of the vote and pledged delegates in AK, HI, WI, and WY, as he did in Idaho and Utah, he would cut Hillary's PD lead by 136. That would put him to within 162 going into NY.


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Bernie is less than 300 pledged delegates behind now (298). If he wins like he did last night.... (Original Post) morningfog Mar 2016 OP
Yay,,,he can do it, and if he's close he can make his case beating Trump ViseGrip Mar 2016 #1
Shhhhhhh! Yuugal Mar 2016 #2
You know... that thought occurred to me yesterday. Complacency of HillBill voters is our friend. thereismore Mar 2016 #6
Go Western States marions ghost Mar 2016 #3
And 300 behind again after New York 72DejaVu Mar 2016 #4
Certainly a possibility. morningfog Mar 2016 #5
He needs to take back the delegates lost to election theft Lorien Mar 2016 #7
You think that AZ republicans set this up for Hillary? WhiteTara Mar 2016 #14
It Ain't over till it's over Ferd Berfel Mar 2016 #8
But he's not going to keep winning like he did in Idaho and Utah book_worm Mar 2016 #9
What this proves to me is Blue_In_AK Mar 2016 #10
Bernie should do very well on the West Coast. AtomicKitten Mar 2016 #11
NY Times has him down by over 300, 1223 to 920 Number23 Mar 2016 #12
I rely on green papers. They are more accurate. morningfog Mar 2016 #15
"he needs to... blow out his delegate targets th rest ofth way to have a shot at catching Clinton" Bill USA Mar 2016 #13
He needs 57.9% of the remaining delegates. morningfog Mar 2016 #16

Lorien

(31,935 posts)
7. He needs to take back the delegates lost to election theft
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 04:50 PM
Mar 2016

because they'll keep pulling these stunts if he doesn't.

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
9. But he's not going to keep winning like he did in Idaho and Utah
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 04:54 PM
Mar 2016

which are small states with not all that many delegates. The primaries coming up starting with New York and including Pennsylvania and New Jersey are closed primaries where Bernie doesn't do all that well in because it's Democrats only voting.

It's also highly unlikely he is going to win Washington State and Wisconsin by the margins he did in Utah and Idaho.

Number23

(24,544 posts)
12. NY Times has him down by over 300, 1223 to 920
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 05:04 PM
Mar 2016
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/primary-calendar-and-results.html?_r=0

And that's not including those bad people, the super delegates. And even using your scenario, being down 162 delegates is still a huge challenge to overcome.
 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
15. I rely on green papers. They are more accurate.
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 05:13 PM
Mar 2016

No way to cut it, though, he has a huge deficit to overcome.

Bill USA

(6,436 posts)
13. "he needs to... blow out his delegate targets th rest ofth way to have a shot at catching Clinton"
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 05:12 PM
Mar 2016

https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/hillary-clinton-for-president-20160323?page=3
Not all the news is good for Sanders, however. He was expected to win more delegates on the evening based on our demographic targets — and more importantly, he’s far enough behind Clinton that he needs to not just meet but blow out his delegate targets the rest of the way to have a shot at eventually catching Clinton.
 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
16. He needs 57.9% of the remaining delegates.
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 05:15 PM
Mar 2016

Tough, steep, nearly impossible hill to climb for sure.

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