2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary Clinton retakes the lead over Bernie Sanders in Wisconsin
Some may not like the source--but the numbers are the numbers.
http://www.dailynewsbin.com/news/hillary-clinton-retakes-the-lead-over-bernie-sanders-in-wisconsin/24228/
Hillary Clinton retakes the lead over Bernie Sanders in Wisconsin
By dailynewsbin | March 23, 2016
hillary-clinton-6
The state of Wisconsin appeared to be perhaps the largest state remaining on the democratic primary calendar that Bernie Sanders could win. In last months polling he led the state by one percent, a narrow lead within the margin of error, but enough to give him plenty of hope for winning the state. However, brand new polling says that Hillary Clinton has retaken the lead in Wisconsin, and by no small margin.
New polling from Emerson says that Hillary Clinton now leads the state of Wisconsin by six points over Bernie Sanders. Its not a commanding lead but it suggests that Clinton may be benefiting from the fact that Sanders supporters are beginning to figure out hes not going to win the nomination anyway, pivoting to her instead. Hillary now leads Bernie by 2.6 million votes, with the majority of states having already voted. But Wisconsin wasnt going to propel Bernie back into contention even if he did win it.
Democratic delegates are awarded proportionally in all fifty states. So regardless of who wins Wisconsin, if its by a close margin, the delegates will be split nearly in half. That means Bernie cant use it to close the massive gap. And this new polling data says Bernie may fall further behind as a result of Wisconsin anyway. ................
revbones
(3,660 posts)Well, unless you went with Blue Nation Review and Peter Daou.
riversedge
(70,189 posts)So predictable.
I'm not sure what you were saying there.
And no, I'm just tired of every article that isn't positively glowing about Hillary be maligned as "right wing" yet people ignore the hypocrisy of citing actual propaganda sites like BNR, etc...
Tarc
(10,476 posts)They don't care about "questionable websites", just the ones that do not report their preferred version of the issues.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)riversedge
(70,189 posts)CalvinballPro
(1,019 posts)I'm not saying all polling is wrong or bad, but it is just polling, and there are limits to its predictive success.
But I will admit that's a bad sign for a Sanders campaign that needs to take 60% of the vote to be on track for delegates.
Jitter65
(3,089 posts)ThePhilosopher04
(1,732 posts)riversedge
(70,189 posts)Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)bobthedrummer
(26,083 posts)riversedge
(70,189 posts)At least is always ranks very low on the poverty score.
But that said,they are not my number--they are from a polling company
bobthedrummer
(26,083 posts)btw, Vernon County is a total mess politically
riversedge
(70,189 posts)Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)Do they not know him yet?
Or do they know him.
Jitter65
(3,089 posts)is finish close. She can even lose this and keep her putting her delegate lead out of reach.
AZ Progressive
(3,411 posts)Thus, this poll is meaningless.