2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHow Many Superdelegates Would Bernie Have to Flip..
if it becomes apparent that he has the best chance of winning in the general election going into the convention.
Cheese Sandwich
(9,086 posts)angstlessk
(11,862 posts)NanceGreggs
(27,813 posts)The "but there are polls out there that say I'd win the GE" song-and-dance isn't going to be very convincing coming from the guy who couldn't win the nomination.
forest444
(5,902 posts)That number would be 372, out of the 468 that declared their support for Hillary as of the latest count. The real number is, however, much less than that if one takes into account that Bernie's likely to do well in the remaining states.
Bernie, as has been noted, has 43% of the pledged delegates thus far, would need 65% of the remaining pledged delegates to overtake Hillary (soops aside).
Undeniably, it's a very tall order - but not that improbable if one takes one little thing into account:an indictment.
Given Hillary's current legal circumstances, it really doesn't matter how far ahead Hillary is in the delegate count. Unless they want to throw this election, the party will not nominate someone under a federal indictment.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)Or if Hillary implodes or drops out.
slipslidingaway
(21,210 posts)Garrett78
(10,721 posts)Superdelegates won't be a factor this year.
pampango
(24,692 posts)the whole primary season and just rely on the wisdom of super-delegates to choose our nominee.
If either candidate has a majority of the pledged delegates and the popular vote in the primaries and the party super-delegates (establishment) chooses the other one, stick a fork in us; we are done - even if they are choosing MY candidate.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)There are approximately 4,700 total delegates of which about 4000 are pledged and 700 are superdelegates.
From latest estimates Hillary will go to the convention leading 2200-1800 in pledged delegates, a 400 delegate lead. Bernie will need to win the supers 550-150 to close that gap.
That is so impossibly absurd that its dumb to even be discussing it.
MineralMan
(146,282 posts)If he did that, the superdelegates would vote for him in the majority.
So, if you want Bernie Sanders to be the nominee, you need to work to get enough votes in the remaining primaries to have the majority of pledged delegates at the convention.
It's so very simple to understand, really.