Delegates: Sanders 956, Clinton 1234 -- 2383 needed to win

[TheDormouse]

Current delegate count per Associated Press (per NY Times & Real Clear Politics)

Hawaii still pending ...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/democratic_delegate_count.html

[TDale313]

1. Doesn't include most of Washington either.

Or all of Alaska but could be wrong about that,

[basselope]

2. Its actually going to be a lot closer.

Out of 101 delegates from WA they have only accounted for 31 of them. 23 for Bernie 9 for Clinton. Most likely Bernie will end up with about 70 and Hillary with about 30... so after Hawaii, Bernie may be over 1000 and Clinton at about 1260, with some big wins still to come for Bernie.

[Segami]

5. If you factor in

and assign the full WA 101 delegates (proportionally), Bernie will have trimmed Hillary's delegate lead by about 66.

Hillary - 1229 + 4 + 7 + 27 = 1267

Bernie - 933 + 12 + 18 + 74 = 1037


1267 - 1037 = 230 delegates (Hillary)

[TheDormouse]

3. yeah the map looks good going forward for Bernie

But I am worried about NY. That's a LOT of delegates there, and Hillary has a leg up because she served as senator there, the Clintons live there, and they've got the party establishment, from Schumer on down, completely locked up there.

The saving grace is that it isn't winner-takes-all.

[strategery blunder]

4. Keep in mind that in WA the "party establishment" was also very heavily pro-Hillary

Also our party establishment is also very pro-TPP because our state probably actually stands to net benefit from it, albeit at the expense of the rest of the Union. And yet, we all saw what the WA rank-and-file thought about THAT.

Now, that doesn't negate Hillary's other advantages in NY (current homestate, represented the state as Senator), but I'm not sure the party establishment is all that UNTIL it's reckoning time at the convention. The supers don't actually get to vote until AFTER the people have voted.

WA just gave our own party establishment a big "FU, we'll vote how we want, keep your thumb off the scales." Granted we don't have quite the influence as NY, but we are THE biggest caucus state by population (13th in the Union, the 12 above us are all primary states).

If anything, we just told everyone, "Don't let the supers control YOUR vote."

[Barack_America]

6. NY is where momentum is so important.

I think he can close the gap considerably there.

I worry more about NJ and CT, actually.

[Trenzalore]

7. Pennsylvania should concern you as well nt.

[Cobalt Violet]

9. hoping his registration drive there this week was successful.

They think he can win there.

[Kittycat]

8. Viability and assignment

There were some areas that Hillary wasn't even viable in last night. So Bernie should receive more than just a state proportional split of delegates. Alaska for example, had 6 nonviable wins. I wonder how long until they're all assigned?