2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBernie Sanders wins three Western states; Hillary Clinton retains significant delegate lead
While results in Washington, Alaska and Hawaii barely dented Hillary Clinton's significant delegate lead, Sanders' wins on Saturday underscored her persistent vulnerabilities within her own party, particularly with young voters and activists who have been inspired by her rival's unapologetically liberal message.
In an interview with The Associated Press, Sanders cast his performance as part of a Western comeback, saying he expects to close the delegate gap with Clinton as the contest moves to the more liberal northeastern states, including her home state of New York. He also said his campaign is increasing its outreach to superdelegates, the party insiders who can pick either candidate and are overwhelmingly with Clinton.
"The Deep South is a very conservative part of the country," he said. "Now that we're heading into a progressive part of the country, we expect to do much better."
http://www.masslive.com/politics/index.ssf/2016/03/washington_alaska_hawaii_caucu.html
msongs
(67,346 posts)BillZBubb
(10,650 posts)They support conservaDems like Hillary. That's who they are. Is that too difficult for you to understand?
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)I am sorry but the narrative you all keep writing to fit the situation is false on it face since it keeps changing from day to day.
The Dems in the South and Hillary are not conserva-Dems.
Super-delegates will not flip to Bernie. He still needs to win by margins greater than his support in the polls in North East states.
He can't catch up to Hillary. He won't be the nominee.
What we understand is you are just flat out wrong.
Southern Democrats tend to be more conservative and are more likely to vote for a slightly right of center Democrat like Hillary.
DonCoquixote
(13,616 posts)people who might very well vote for trump in the general, just like they often down down south. As those who like to write excuses for Ralph Nader point out, in the general, a lot of "Reagan Democrats" vote for the GOP because either they think the Democrat will raise taxes, to because the Churches ramp up the "vote GOP or you will go to hell" messages.
Such things should not be effective, but they are, and no, I am not saying this applies to the ones that have genuine reasons, who really do want Hillary to be the president, but the problem is, when you rely on the Reagan Democrats, you become Charlie Brown, running to kick the football, while Lucy prepares to take her ball and go home again, this time with many of the same pundits and power-brokers who know that as long as the Reagan are the favorite prize of the party, the right will control the game.
Then again, Truman said it better than I could:
"Given a choice between a fake Republican and a real one the public will choose the real Republican every time".
and sad to say, while many of the Jeb Bushes and Marco Rubios are still scratching their head, Trump PLAYS TO THE BASE.
Yes, there are many who have reasons for Hillary, ideas for Hillary, hopes for Hillary, plans to affirmatively attack the corruption with Hillary. But in the current campaign, the one being managed by Debbie Wasserman "decade of failure, including 2008" Schultz, those are NOT the people Hillary is focusing on.
OhZone
(3,212 posts)primaries!
Especially in closed primaries.
And she's way ahead in the polls in many of them.
So predictwise's needle has barely moved.