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SecularMotion

(7,981 posts)
Mon Mar 28, 2016, 07:12 AM Mar 2016

The money is on Hillary Clinton to bury Donald Trump

Prediction one: Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton will win their parties' nominations. Prediction two: Clinton will take the White House handily. At least, that's what political wagering websites say.

These operations, which distill the wisdom of crowds, turn out to be surprisingly solid when it comes to predicting presidential races. Their record for accuracy outdoes that of opinion polls.

Most Web-based political investment markets -- they don't like to call themselves betting pools, not wanting to run up against online gambling bans -- are structured to run much like commodity futures exchanges.

According to the oldest such election bourse, the Iowa Electronic Markets, which has been operating since 1988, Trump has 85 percent odds of capturing the Republican nomination this year; Clinton has a 90 percent chance of gaining the Democratic prize. And the Democrats' candidate in the fall is the favorite, by 67-33 percent. (The Iowa market, run by the University of Iowa, doesn't put a person's name at the head of the ticket before the party's nominating convention.)

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/the-money-is-on-hillary-clinton-to-bury-donald-trump/
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The money is on Hillary Clinton to bury Donald Trump (Original Post) SecularMotion Mar 2016 OP
And with Clinton's coattails we can recapture the House and the Senate. baldguy Mar 2016 #1
That makes sense. n/t Dawgs Mar 2016 #2
Certainly the Senate, the House is so gerrymandered though leftofcool Mar 2016 #4
Well, if there's money involved, I'm sure Hillary will be interested. (nm) Lizzie Poppet Mar 2016 #3
Beat me to it TheFarS1de Mar 2016 #6
Can't believe I was that quick at 4:30! Lizzie Poppet Mar 2016 #9
my 1st thought too. Cobalt Violet Mar 2016 #12
Clinton Derangement Syndrome CreekDog Mar 2016 #13
Ah, so now people who object to Princess Weathervane are deranged. Niiiiice. Lizzie Poppet Apr 2016 #14
ah "Princess" so you added a little sexism to your Clinton Derangement Syndrome CreekDog Apr 2016 #15
That's how they roll DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #16
Returning to a Democratic Congress is worth fighting to accomplish Thinkingabout Mar 2016 #5
The predictwise markets are really fun to watch Gothmog Mar 2016 #7
K & R LAS14 Mar 2016 #8
Special Interest and Wall Street money... HumanityExperiment Mar 2016 #10
Sanders will bury Trump more deeply lagomorph777 Mar 2016 #11
 

baldguy

(36,649 posts)
1. And with Clinton's coattails we can recapture the House and the Senate.
Mon Mar 28, 2016, 07:20 AM
Mar 2016

Which could not happen with Sanders.

CreekDog

(46,192 posts)
13. Clinton Derangement Syndrome
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 12:14 AM
Mar 2016

finally have a safe place to vent it after all these years.

so let it all out.

 

Lizzie Poppet

(10,164 posts)
14. Ah, so now people who object to Princess Weathervane are deranged. Niiiiice.
Sat Apr 2, 2016, 12:11 AM
Apr 2016

Bless your heart!

I trust you speak Southern...

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
5. Returning to a Democratic Congress is worth fighting to accomplish
Mon Mar 28, 2016, 08:00 AM
Mar 2016

And can get progressive ideas passed. This is why raising funds for down ticket is so important.

 

HumanityExperiment

(1,442 posts)
10. Special Interest and Wall Street money...
Mon Mar 28, 2016, 09:26 AM
Mar 2016

Of course 'the money' is on HRC, the establishment and big monied interests are all in for HRC

Have to maintain the narrative against the rising tide of populism that Bernie is waging

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
11. Sanders will bury Trump more deeply
Mon Mar 28, 2016, 09:30 AM
Mar 2016

Look at the one-to-one matchup polls:

Friday, March 25
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton SurveyUSA Clinton 49, Trump 38 Clinton +11
Michigan: Cruz vs. Clinton SurveyUSA Clinton 49, Cruz 39 Clinton +10
Michigan: Kasich vs. Clinton SurveyUSA Kasich 46, Clinton 41 Kasich +5
Michigan: Trump vs. Sanders SurveyUSA Sanders 55, Trump 36 Sanders +19
Michigan: Cruz vs. Sanders SurveyUSA Sanders 56, Cruz 35 Sanders +21
Michigan: Kasich vs. Sanders SurveyUSA Sanders 47, Kasich 42 Sanders +5

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/pres_general/

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