Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Chichiri

(4,667 posts)
Mon Mar 28, 2016, 08:14 PM Mar 2016

Where are we compared with 2008?

Because the calendars and the number of delegates are so different between the two years, there are a few different ways to make the comparison.

If we look at the percentage of delegates so far allocated, about 57%, then we're at the same place as February 5, 2008, the end of Super Tuesday. (I know, there were a LOT of states that day!) On that day, Obama's lead over Hillary was 20 delegates.

That "20" doesn't tell the full story, though. Because there were 3,410 delegates up for grabs in 2008, as opposed to 4,051 today, we can adjust for "delegate inflation." So in today's delegates, his lead would be 24 delegates.

If we look at the number of contests so far held, 35, then we're in the same place as February 10, 2008, the day that Maine voted. On that day, Obama's lead was 75 delegates. Adjusted for inflation, that's 89 delegates.

If we look at the actual date, March 28, then we're at the point in 2008 where all but 10 contests have been decided. On that day, Obama's lead was 148 delegates. Adjusted for inflation, 176 delegates.

Obama's maximum lead over Hillary at any time was 151 delegates -- adjusted for inflation, 180 delegates. And at the end of it all, Obama's lead was 106 pledged delegates -- adjusted for inflation, 124 delegates.

At present, Hillary's lead over Bernie is 230 delegates.

3 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Where are we compared with 2008? (Original Post) Chichiri Mar 2016 OP
Yep, 2008 was a better year for those... Herman4747 Mar 2016 #1
Sigh. nt Chichiri Mar 2016 #3
KNR Thank you! Lucinda Mar 2016 #2
 

Herman4747

(1,825 posts)
1. Yep, 2008 was a better year for those...
Mon Mar 28, 2016, 08:40 PM
Mar 2016

wanting a sincere, honest Democratic nominee who couldn't be bought, and, fortunately, in the end Obama beat Hillary.

Now, though, in 2016 the outcome may not be as good -- we shall have to see.

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Where are we compared wit...