Betting Sites

[winetourdriver]

Why, if Bernie is doing SO well, are all the betting sites saying Clinton is going to win?

[Half-Century Man]

1. Cause bookies know when a horserace is rigged.

But, sometimes the rigging fails....

[winetourdriver]

2. OK

Good luck with that, these sites have never been wrong- ever.

[Half-Century Man]

11. You read their advertising.

But then believed it.

SO...positive points from one get reduced by negative debts from the other.....looks like you haven't progressed at all.

[PonyUp]

21. So you invested every dollar you have with these sites, since they are never wrong- ever. Right?

You'd be crazy not to, if you believe they are never wrong- ever.

[HumanityExperiment]

3. 56%...

Would you bet for or against those odds to win nomination?


Of the remaining primaries that's % needed by Bernie to win nomination

[BernieforPres2016]

4. How did you stay off my Ignore list this long?

On you go, along with everybody else who supports the corporatist war mongering lying crook.

[winetourdriver]

5. Ignore

I'm good with that, and predict I will survive just fine.

[Attorney in Texas]

6. For the same reason they said Jeb! was going to win.

[NWCorona]

9. A win for you

[panader0]

7. Can you show what her odds were 6 months ago

comparing to now?

[IdaBriggs]

8. Can you provide a link to one of these sites?

I think there may be some money to be made!

[winetourdriver]

10. links

Here are a few, bet away!



http://predictit.org

https://betting.betfair.com/politics/us-politics/

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/politics/other-politics/us-politics?ev_oc_grp_ids=482040

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics

https://electionbettingodds.com/

http://www.oddsshark.com/entertainment/us-presidential-odds-2016-futures

[IdaBriggs]

12. Thank you!

Any opinions on which have the best reputations? I have never done online gambling before.

[winetourdriver]

14. sites

I like predictit.org the best, I find it a little easier to understand/navigate than the others. I would also like to say that I will vote for whoever wins the democratic nomination, as I always have. I don't feel the acrimony that others feel on this site, and don't really understand why there is so much of it here.. I suspect a lot of it is trolls stirring the shit pot.

[IdaBriggs]

17. I usually refer to it as "Primary Passions" -

A lot of dramatic shouting before the love fest begins!

[winetourdriver]

18. passion

Thanks! That's a reassuring thought.

[GreatGazoo]

13. Betting lines are determined by how much money is laid each way

with the house taking the middle. The House can't lose (unless it is a bankrupt Trump casino).

In other words, those betting create the odds.

[Bob41213]

15. Traditionally, I thought betting sites were fairly accurate predictors.

I can't quote any source but I thought they were typically pretty good indicators because people are "putting their money where their mouth is."

That said, things change pretty often and things that were obvious often change.

[winetourdriver]

16. change

Totally agree with you, we are so far out from the election yet that many of the dynamics will change. Far too early for all the pearl clutching I see..

[SheenaR]

20. The House most certainly can lose

It is rarely 50/50 on the bets

When a favorite that everyone is betting on wins (as typically people do bet the favorites) the House gets crushed

[SheenaR]

19. Upcoming states

Bernie favored

Wisconsin- small
Wyoming- big

Hillary favored
NY- big
PA- big
MD- big
DE- Medium

Toss ups
CT
RI

Sanders' nomination odds have been surprisingly good of late. They were as low as 5/1 recently (20% chance). The only way this thing changes, is if: A) Hillary wins Wisconsin big (kills Sanders) B) Sanders wins NY (changes ballgame in PA and beyond)