An observation about the NY primary...

[phantom power]

speaking as somebody who grew up at the very far left of this map... There's a sort of unconscious tendency for non-NY-ers to think "New York City" when they think of NY, but it's a pretty big state, and 95% of it bears no resemblance to NYC per se, either culturally or politically. In fact, western NY much more resembles, say, Minnesota, or WI, (Swedes, dairy farming and all), than it does the east coast.

[tk2kewl]

1. but more than half of all NYers live in NYC and LI

it will be interesting...

[phantom power]

2. Yes, the NYC metro area throws a lot of weight around

I don't even claim to know what it all means, but if somebody attempted to craft a political strategy, or political analysis, of New York, and only considered NYC, I feel pretty confident their models would be off.

[Armstead]

3. New York has basically every state of the union in it (except the warm ones)

Outside NYC you have basically a western extension of New England, the agricultural Midwest, the Rust Belt, and areas that resemble Montana and the Mountain States, with the eastern coastal on Long Island and a little bit of Canada and the Pacific Northwest thrown in.

[geek tragedy]

4. Metro NYC including Long Guy Land is 55% of the population.

And upstate NY is a lot more like Pennsylvania and Ohio than it is like Minnesota. More Italians than Swedes.

/someone who has spent over a decade in both NY and Minnesota

[geek tragedy]

7. um, lol wut?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_New_York,_2006

http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/states/NY.html

Florida is pretty diverse. So is Texas. Clinton somehow managed to scrape by there.

Bernie better guy himself an EZ Pass. Lots of ground to cover.

[geek tragedy]

9. Cool story, bro nt

[CorporatistNation]

5. Let's GOoooo BUFFALO!

Take It To'er! Bernie Will Campaign Like There Is No Tomorrow... The More Who See Him The Better Off We Are... He has the energy and stamina of a 40 year old... Former Track Star!

[JackRiddler]

11. Registered D's disproportionately in City/LI

But I think upstate margins will be overwhelming for Sanders, the City will be very close, and LI/Westchester is the question.

[hrmjustin]

12. Yes we are a very diverse state. Hillary will win big in the south.

Rural counties will go for Sanders and the upstate cities will be battlegrounds but they favor Hillary.

[geek tragedy]

15. one guarantee is that Sanders will win Tompkins county (Ithaca) nt

[hrmjustin]

16. Agreed.

[carburyme]

13. I expect Clinton to do well in NY

Fuhgettaboutit Bernie! ( Good luck to Bernie too)

Although Hillary will be banking on large Black/Hispanic population in NYC, her chief bulwark is in the rest of the state. I expect her to do great in places like Rochester, Syracuse, Buffalo, Westchester and Long Island.

Btw I'm new here, can I get a warm welcome?

[geek tragedy]

14. welcome to DU! nt

[carburyme]

17. Thank you

Thank you. I love your posts, always educated, intelligent and well-balanced.

[geek tragedy]

18. are you sure you're talking to the right person? nt

[Agschmid]

19. Lol.

[GreatGazoo]

20. the rural republican parts of the state are much the way Vermont used to be

and to some degree still is. Upstate is Sanders' backyard.

Lots of Repubs but this is a closed primary. I'm upstate and the bumperstickers I see are either Trump or Sanders. There is no Clinton, Cruz or anything else.

Sanders people have been out since last year. Active and visible. No Clinton campaign at all.

A Sanders event tonight with an all ages Bernie look alike contest:

http://helsinkihudson.com/schedule.html#160330