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Hillary will take NY (Original Post) TMontoya Apr 2016 OP
We'll see... nt revbones Apr 2016 #1
Right on cue, we move on to the next state, projecting new ridiculous numbers. Lather, rinse, repeat reformist2 Apr 2016 #6
Actually, it's the next state they think they have a chance in. Wyoming? Hmmm... JimDandy Apr 2016 #30
Sure ... Trajan Apr 2016 #2
Meet me at Washington Square Park on the evening of April 13... JackRiddler Apr 2016 #3
Irrelevant TMontoya Apr 2016 #4
So was WI just a week or so ago. Joe the Revelator Apr 2016 #8
No it wasn't TMontoya Apr 2016 #10
On March 29th, five thirty eight said the chances of a Clinton win in WI were 83%! Red Oak Apr 2016 #24
Keeping telling yourself that any of those statements are true. They aren't. Joe the Revelator Apr 2016 #26
Totally relevant. Everyone in town will know the size of the crowd. But... JackRiddler Apr 2016 #16
I thought we'd established that the size of Sanders' crowd doesn't correlate to his votes... brooklynite Apr 2016 #15
I don't know, have you ever been there? JackRiddler Apr 2016 #18
Remember when she was going to win 49 states? Motown_Johnny Apr 2016 #5
So true. GeorgiaPeanuts Apr 2016 #19
Why even vote? senseandsensibility Apr 2016 #7
Don't pout. nt Xipe Totec Apr 2016 #9
Lol! riderinthestorm Apr 2016 #11
herp a derp a influx a derp. bunnies Apr 2016 #12
Right on itsrobert Apr 2016 #13
My Prediction ... srobert Apr 2016 #14
No he doesn't TMontoya Apr 2016 #17
He has closed the margin to only ten points behind (eom) Samantha Apr 2016 #36
According to what? TMontoya Apr 2016 #40
Sure and While You're At It, Check Wisconsin's Polls srobert Apr 2016 #42
Blah-de-blah de-blah-blah de-blah de-blah. longship Apr 2016 #20
Have you lived in either one of those states? MrMickeysMom Apr 2016 #21
I live in Nj TMontoya Apr 2016 #23
Oh, I see... MrMickeysMom Apr 2016 #29
lol, clever you are Jennylynn Apr 2016 #31
She's already "taken" NY & the rest of the country noretreatnosurrender Apr 2016 #22
Hillary will win NY by 234% Impedimentus Apr 2016 #25
I just have one word Politicalboi Apr 2016 #27
Nice to know I have not run out of ignore material. yourout Apr 2016 #28
Clinton ahead by 10 points! MisterP Apr 2016 #32
Wow TMontoya Apr 2016 #33
Welcome to DU on this fine day, thank you for helping me grow my IGNORE list. Impedimentus Apr 2016 #37
April 19th rolls around, Bernie'll be ahead by 5% by polls YASSIR THE FAT Apr 2016 #38
the arc of history is ruthless MisterP Apr 2016 #39
Not possible TMontoya Apr 2016 #41
that she will ;) n/t chillfactor Apr 2016 #34
In your dreams you brand new HILL ShIll litlbilly Apr 2016 #35
 

JackRiddler

(24,979 posts)
3. Meet me at Washington Square Park on the evening of April 13...
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 11:11 PM
Apr 2016

and say it again in person. I doubt you'll be as confident then.

 

TMontoya

(369 posts)
10. No it wasn't
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 11:17 PM
Apr 2016

Besides NY is closed and Sanders is not drawing much support in NY outside college kids. He is still down by over 200 delegates he missed his target tonight.

Red Oak

(697 posts)
24. On March 29th, five thirty eight said the chances of a Clinton win in WI were 83%!
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 11:30 PM
Apr 2016

How'd that work out for ya?

 

Joe the Revelator

(14,915 posts)
26. Keeping telling yourself that any of those statements are true. They aren't.
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 11:31 PM
Apr 2016

Aside from NY being a closed primary, but I don't think that is going to matter.

 

JackRiddler

(24,979 posts)
16. Totally relevant. Everyone in town will know the size of the crowd. But...
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 11:22 PM
Apr 2016

First of all, I don't give a shit about polls.

I care about politics. I care about issues. I care about people. I don't care about for-profit polling companies and their modeling and the way they are used in attempts to manipulate and distract from people, issues and politics.

Isn't that beautifully retro? Like tokens!

Second, these polls look great!

Every primary outside the South has gone the same way. The polls have been consistently and radically wrong.

Early in the morning today, according to the laughably skewed-as-always polls, Sanders and Clinton were in a dead heat in Wisconsin. That is how I knew with certainty he was winning by 10%, minimum. (Currently: +12 with plenty of Madison to go.)

brooklynite

(94,331 posts)
15. I thought we'd established that the size of Sanders' crowd doesn't correlate to his votes...
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 11:22 PM
Apr 2016

...and do you realize how little open space there is in Washington Square Park?

 

JackRiddler

(24,979 posts)
18. I don't know, have you ever been there?
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 11:24 PM
Apr 2016

It will be packed. Beautifully so. At full density I figure 30,000 fit, and all the side streets will be full too. Why can't Hillary Clinton do that? Since she's so popular and all?

And all you've established is a fantasy world. Sanders' crowds are obviously translating into votes, and he keeps winning. And they will be getting bigger from here on in.

 

srobert

(81 posts)
14. My Prediction ...
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 11:20 PM
Apr 2016

... is that if Hillary does not win New York, she's done. And there is a strong possibility that Bernie will win New York. One more prediction. The President elected in 2016 will be a non-establishment candidate. Better think carefully about that because there two of them. Which one do you want?

 

TMontoya

(369 posts)
17. No he doesn't
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 11:24 PM
Apr 2016

Have a good chance to win in NY. In fact theres a good chance he gets trounced. Check the polls.

 

TMontoya

(369 posts)
40. According to what?
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 12:04 AM
Apr 2016

All latest polls show 15+ leads for Hillary. Even your outlier has him being beaten badly.

 

srobert

(81 posts)
42. Sure and While You're At It, Check Wisconsin's Polls
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 12:39 AM
Apr 2016

The polls I saw yesterday said at best Sanders would win Wisconsin by two points. Several polls said he'd lose last week. Hmm, only 89% of the vote is in now, but he is ahead by nearly 13 points. I think polls are being published by people who are trying to create self-fulfilling prophecies and discourage people from voting against the "inevitable".

 

TMontoya

(369 posts)
23. I live in Nj
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 11:29 PM
Apr 2016

And around here people support Hillary over Bernie by a lot. The size of his rallies is irrelevant.

noretreatnosurrender

(1,890 posts)
22. She's already "taken" NY & the rest of the country
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 11:28 PM
Apr 2016

for a ride for far too long. I hope the voters in NY show her the exit door in a BIG APPLE sort of way.

 

TMontoya

(369 posts)
33. Wow
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 11:48 PM
Apr 2016

Solid lead with only 2 weeks to go. I doubt many will sift their votes at the point. She will likely win by 15 or more points.

 

YASSIR THE FAT

(49 posts)
38. April 19th rolls around, Bernie'll be ahead by 5% by polls
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 11:56 PM
Apr 2016

and polls are wrong again when Bernie defeats Clinton by 17%.

 

TMontoya

(369 posts)
41. Not possible
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 12:05 AM
Apr 2016

Step out of the bubble and get back to reality. There is no chance he wins let alone by that much.

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