In Wyoming Bernie has failed to meet 538's delegate target; Hillary has exceeded hers.

[pnwmom]

Last edited Sat Apr 9, 2016, 06:51 PM - Edit history (1)

538 has calculated delegate targets for each state, based on demographics. The target delegate count is how many delegates each candidate would have to obtain to maintain their relative position in the race. Candidates must exceed their targets to improve their relative position.

Bernie needed to do better than his target, which was 9. Instead he got 7.

Hillary needed 5 delegates to meet her target. She also got 7.

So they tied -- and this isn't good enough for Bernie.

(This doesn't count the super delegates, who have endorsed Hillary.)

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/democrats/

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2016/primaries/2016-04-09

[metroins]

1. This is what happens

When you have a great campaign strategy, team and foundation going in.

Hillary knows how to get things done, and they have put in the time and effort since the beginning to win.

[k8conant]

12. but I don't like what Hillary wants done nt

[guillaumeb]

2. In response: Momentum and enthusiasm. Intangibles, but factors.

[pnwmom]

4. People in NY won't care about how people in western caucus states voted.

They'll make their own decision.

[guillaumeb]

7. True. As they should. But momentum cannot be discounted.

[pnwmom]

10. 538 says momentum hasn't been much of a factor in this race so far. States have voted

as would have been predicted based on demographics.

[geek tragedy]

6. nobody in one state cares how people in another state voted.

this is a bad day for Sanders. Gaining zero delegates in a caucus state hurts. One more delegate opportunity off the table

[brooklynite]

13. To be clear, you mean NET zero?

[geek tragedy]

14. yes, gaining zero, which to my mind is different than receiving, getting, earning

winning, etc.

net zero, an actual tie.

[DefenseLawyer]

3. Obviously Clinton should declare victory in Wyoming. n/t

[Lucinda]

5. Many thanks to Hillary's WY team and all those wonderful voters!

[Skink]

9. Especially the surrogates

[brooklynite]

15. yes, I'm glad you agree that as many Democrats should be allowed to vote as possible.

[IamMab]

8. An excellent result for the Clinton ground team. Hats off to all their efforts! nt

[pnwmom]

11. Welcome to DU, IamMab! n/t

[DCBob]

16. Another Bernie win turns into another loss.

[Barack_America]

17. Mmm hmm. After smoking his targets in WA, AK and HI.

Try again.

[pnwmom]

19. She's still over 200 delegates ahead and he isn't showing signs of being able

to close that gap -- which is larger, by the way, than Obama EVER had over her.

Bernie's almost run out of caucus states with few black voters -- his area of special strength.

Now the election is moving to large, diverse states like New York, with plenty of African Americans.

And those contests are primaries, and most require registration as a Democrat.

[lostnfound]

18. So, what war stocks should I buy?

Gotta make lemonade out of lemons.

[lunamagica]

20. Great! #FeelTheMath