2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew PPP Poll of NY - Bernie closing the gap
He is closer at this time, than he was before MI.
New PPP Poll of NY: HRC: 51% BS: 40%
All the NY Polls seem to be about the same HRC up 11-16 points:
On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton's leading with 51% to 40% for Bernie Sanders. Clinton benefits from more committed support than Sanders- 88% of her voters say they'll definitely cast their ballots for her, compared to 71% of Sanders backers who say the same. All the normal splits present themselves in New York. Clinton is dominant with women (57/34), but trails slightly with men (47/44). The race is close among white voters- a 47/43 Clinton lead- while she has much more emphatic advantages with Hispanics (66/28) and African Americans (61/32). Sanders is ahead with younger voters (56/40), but Clinton's up by even more with seniors (63/27). Clinton's lead is widest in New York City (55/38), followed by the suburbs (51/40), and the race is effectively tied upstate (47/44).
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/
JanetLovesObama
(548 posts)problem with his young voters who never thought to register as a Democrat in March OR who didn't change their affiliation from I or R to D last October. Those young people don't think past tomorrow. I know. I raised two of them.
MFM008
(19,776 posts)I have to call to remind him of his to do stuff at 33.....
ViseGrip
(3,133 posts)pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)A reporter from MSNBC was walking down a line of people waiting for a Bernie Rally. She asked them those very same questions that are common in that erroneous meme.
She asked how many were registered to vote, and they all yelled "yes!".
And asked if they had registered as Democrats so they could vote for Bernie and they yelled "yes!".
She was taken aback so she asked if anyone was not registered and not one person said they weren't.
OOPS! Meme busted!
RoccoR5955
(12,471 posts)ViseGrip
(3,133 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)That's not going to happen in NY thank God!
It will be a REAL democratic primary!
JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)It's as credible as "voter fraud" and rarer than Bigfoot.
BernieforPres2016
(3,017 posts)He won that age group 73-26 in Wisconsin. And he won Wisconsin men 64-35 versus the 47-44 in this NY poll.
BigDemVoter
(4,149 posts)DetroitSocialist83
(169 posts)And I live obviously in Michigan by my screen name. Michigan is not New York in any way. We had independent voters.I think sanders would need to bring it within 5 in last minute polls to win in a closed primary.
RoccoR5955
(12,471 posts)These polls are all over the place, and are probably wrong.
demwing
(16,916 posts)Bottom of page #2:
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NY_41216.pdf
I think the polls favor Clinton, but c'mon...80% landlines?
ViseGrip
(3,133 posts)And now it's come out voter registration is at all time high!