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Wed Apr 13, 2016, 11:14 AM

POLL UPDATE 2016 New York Democratic Presidential Primary - Clinton 52%, Sanders 42% (Siena College)

(Siena College 4/6-4/11)
Population 538 Likely Voters - Democrat
Margin of Error 4.5 percentage points
Polling Method Live Phone


http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/siena-24265

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Reply POLL UPDATE 2016 New York Democratic Presidential Primary - Clinton 52%, Sanders 42% (Siena College) (Original post)
Dem2 Apr 2016 OP
GeorgiaPeanuts Apr 2016 #1
Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #2
NWCorona Apr 2016 #4
Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #5
NWCorona Apr 2016 #7
apnu Apr 2016 #6
NurseJackie Apr 2016 #3
closeupready Apr 2016 #8
geek tragedy Apr 2016 #9
KingFlorez Apr 2016 #10
closeupready Apr 2016 #11
Betty Karlson Apr 2016 #12

Response to Dem2 (Original post)

Wed Apr 13, 2016, 11:16 AM

1. An +11 point swing in favor of Sanders since their last poll. This is what momentum looks like nt

 

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Response to GeorgiaPeanuts (Reply #1)

Wed Apr 13, 2016, 11:22 AM

2. Siena's last poll was two months ago. If we're looking for trends:

 

Quinnipiac: Mar 29 -- HRC 54, BS 42
Today -- HRC 53, BS 40

So, the new Siena poll looks more like a correction than a trend. Ditto the polls from Emerson.

The race will tighten, no doubt. but let's not cherry pick our polls.

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Response to Buzz Clik (Reply #2)

Wed Apr 13, 2016, 11:24 AM

4. It's a good thing that Bernie over performs his polling!

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Response to NWCorona (Reply #4)

Wed Apr 13, 2016, 11:27 AM

5. Most definitely in open primaries and most open caucuses.

 

Not so much in closed primaries.

The reliable polling agencies are: Quinnipiac, PPP, and CBS/YouGov. The latter two will undoubtedly release their final NY polling numbers soon, and we'll see where it sits.

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Response to Buzz Clik (Reply #5)

Wed Apr 13, 2016, 11:30 AM

7. The fact is Bernie has made tremendous inroads

As Wisconsin proved regardless if it was a caucuse as he pulled more established dems than ever.

I'm not saying NY is a lock but it's looking better than ever for Bernie.

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Response to Buzz Clik (Reply #2)

Wed Apr 13, 2016, 11:29 AM

6. +1 for reasonableness!

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Response to Dem2 (Original post)

Wed Apr 13, 2016, 11:23 AM

3. "This poll asked respondents 1 question"

How can a polling organization properly weight the responses if they ask only one question? And what exactly was the question?

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Response to Dem2 (Original post)

Wed Apr 13, 2016, 11:31 AM

8. This means Sanders is in fact leading, as it was with

 

every single prior race in which Clinton was ahead, sometimes by 20 points, and oops, Sanders won. So K&R

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Response to closeupready (Reply #8)

Wed Apr 13, 2016, 11:32 AM

9. like Florida and Ohio? nt

 

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Response to closeupready (Reply #8)

Wed Apr 13, 2016, 11:53 AM

10. Sure

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Response to KingFlorez (Reply #10)

Wed Apr 13, 2016, 11:56 AM

11. Got it, Bobbie Boy!

 



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Response to Dem2 (Original post)

Wed Apr 13, 2016, 11:58 AM

12. Live phone? Doesn't that method skewer the findings toward Clinton? eom

 

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