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2016 Postmortem

Dem2

(8,166 posts) Thu Apr 21, 2016, 11:48 AM Apr 2016

5

2016 National Democratic Primary - Hillary 51%(+3), Bernie 45%(-4) (Ipsos/Reuters (Web) 4/16-4/20)

I know nobody cares about national polls, but Bernie was up 1 in the previous Ipsos/Reuters poll done 4/9 - 4/13 - 49-48.

6 replies

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2016 National Democratic Primary - Hillary 51%(+3), Bernie 45%(-4) (Ipsos/Reuters (Web) 4/16-4/20) (Original Post) Dem2 Apr 2016 OP

People want winners MadBadger Apr 2016 #1

The wheels on the Bernie Bus fall off, off, off... nt IamMab Apr 2016 #2

People just go with the flo of MSM bkkyosemite Apr 2016 #3

Statistical noise. Who does Bette against the GOP? CentralCoaster Apr 2016 #4

The Statistical Noise Was the Last Poll That Had Sanders Up Stallion Apr 2016 #5

NY bounce! DCBob Apr 2016 #6

MadBadger

(24,089 posts)

1. People want winners

Reply to Dem2 (Original post)

Thu Apr 21, 2016, 11:50 AM

Apr 2016

IamMab

(1,359 posts)

2. The wheels on the Bernie Bus fall off, off, off... nt

Reply to Dem2 (Original post)

Thu Apr 21, 2016, 11:51 AM

Apr 2016

bkkyosemite

(5,792 posts)

3. People just go with the flo of MSM

Reply to Dem2 (Original post)

Thu Apr 21, 2016, 11:51 AM

Apr 2016

CentralCoaster

(1,163 posts)

4. Statistical noise. Who does Bette against the GOP?

Reply to Dem2 (Original post)

Thu Apr 21, 2016, 11:52 AM

Apr 2016

Stallion

(6,473 posts)

5. The Statistical Noise Was the Last Poll That Had Sanders Up

Reply to CentralCoaster (Reply #4)

Thu Apr 21, 2016, 12:36 PM

Apr 2016

as Nate Silver pointed out in 2012- elections don't really change day by day or week by week. Many stay pretty much the way they were. Obama had a sizeable lead over Romney throughout that election and Clinton has had close to a double digit lead over Trump since the candidates emerged. Polls go up and down partly because they are measuring different things but many end up pretty much where they started

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

6. NY bounce!

Reply to Dem2 (Original post)

Thu Apr 21, 2016, 12:37 PM

Apr 2016

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