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Tue Apr 26, 2016, 01:02 PM

YES !!!! Bernie 44%, Hillary 50% -- & Bernie has the momentum!



Hillary's support level has plateaued--she's got all the supporters she is going to get. But Bernie's still getting new supporters, as more potential voters hear his message.

Bernie is within striking distance of Hillary in national polls.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-democratic-primary

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Reply YES !!!! Bernie 44%, Hillary 50% -- & Bernie has the momentum! (Original post)
TheDormouse Apr 2016 OP
Dem2 Apr 2016 #1
TheDormouse Apr 2016 #3
Godhumor Apr 2016 #6
TheDormouse Apr 2016 #12
Dem2 Apr 2016 #9
Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #8
onehandle Apr 2016 #2
TheDormouse Apr 2016 #5
artyteacher Apr 2016 #4
CrowCityDem Apr 2016 #7
tonyt53 Apr 2016 #10
TheDormouse Apr 2016 #11

Response to TheDormouse (Original post)

Tue Apr 26, 2016, 01:06 PM

1. Derp?

Hillary's lead was 3% less than a week ago, lead is now 6% - I don't get the enthusiasm?

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Response to Dem2 (Reply #1)

Tue Apr 26, 2016, 01:06 PM

3. a change of 3% is negligible statistically

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Response to TheDormouse (Reply #3)

Tue Apr 26, 2016, 01:07 PM

6. No margin of error in aggregation n/t

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Response to Godhumor (Reply #6)

Tue Apr 26, 2016, 01:24 PM

12. Meta-analysis is still dependent on errors of individual polls

whether you can calculate a margin of error or not.

The aggregate is exact for the polls themselves, but inexact for the measure the polls themselves are estimating.

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Response to TheDormouse (Reply #3)

Tue Apr 26, 2016, 01:10 PM

9. It is when the +3% is due to the average change in 7 polls from reputable pollsters

He was closing in when polls showed him tied or with a lead about 2 weeks ago. It seems to have rebounded since NY.

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Response to Dem2 (Reply #1)

Tue Apr 26, 2016, 01:10 PM

8. +1 Derp.

 

The lead has been the same (according to that poll) since March 31.

"Hurray! Nothing has changed!"

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Response to TheDormouse (Original post)

Tue Apr 26, 2016, 01:06 PM

2. Never heard of a state called 'National.' nt

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Response to onehandle (Reply #2)

Tue Apr 26, 2016, 01:07 PM

5. Then you definitely should get out more.

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Response to TheDormouse (Original post)

Tue Apr 26, 2016, 01:07 PM

4. bernie math? eom

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Response to TheDormouse (Original post)

Tue Apr 26, 2016, 01:10 PM

7. Hmmm... winning from behind.... how does that work again?

 

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Response to TheDormouse (Original post)

Tue Apr 26, 2016, 01:19 PM

10. Numbers do matter

 

Yep, numbers matter, and Hillary is far ahead of Bernie in actual votes cast, not to even mention delegates.

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Response to tonyt53 (Reply #10)

Tue Apr 26, 2016, 01:22 PM

11. Votes cast to date, but not everyone has voted

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