Just asking.....

[ViseGrip]

Is the Independent base now bigger than the democrats and the republicans?


The model is old we are using, and it makes the numbers meaningless for a general.

I keep hearing dems say the indy's don't matter. Such ignorance.

[Broward]

1. The ignorant Dems are giving the ignorant Repubs a run for their money.

[larkrake]

2. yes

[riderinthestorm]

3. Yes, 43% identify as independents. 29% identify as Dems

http://www.gallup.com/poll/180440/new-record-political-independents.aspx

January 2015 survey

[Stallion]

4. Pollster: Party ID (Current)-D: 36.5 I: 30.6 R: 28.1

in every General Elections the trend is for Independents to trend back to the Party they lean to. Democrats are at about their highest point since the months after Obama's inaguration


http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/party-identification

[tech3149]

6. I tend to dismiss the opinion of pundits and pollsters as being too much self defense

I would say that we are dealing with numerous black swan events since and including the financial crash. They have shown that their perception and understanding of events is not as comprehensive or accurate as they believe.
Perhaps if those signifigant opinion makers had to trade places with the person cleaning their office, or the pollsters weighted theirdat by who they had access to, things might look a bit different.

[leftofcool]

5. It is ignorance to think that any left leaning indie would vote for Trump.

[Hiraeth]

7. but, Stein or a write in would be a different story.

[PowerToThePeople]

8. I think many left indies

came into the Democratic fold burring the Bush years.

We had HOPEd that Obama would put us on the path to better CHANGE.

With the current front runner, many of us see that left momentum being reversed.

The end result?