2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWhat is the obsession with national polls?
They offer a helpful "snapshot" in terms of the overall mood of the country towards the candidates but given that elections aren't won or lost on a national popular vote, what's their overall significance? Why does the media focus mainly on the national polling as if it's the most important thing and not talking more about the individual states that will actually determine the outcome of the election? I'm assuming- based on my own cynicism and skepticism about the media- that the media is focusing mainly on the national polls, particularly ones that have Romney ahead in order to help feed the "ZOMG! Romney has momentum and could win this election!" narrative. It's about the only explanation I can think of at the moment. This entire election this year, frankly, has been a surreal experience- where an oddball plutocrat is in serious contention for the highest office in the land and an intelligent, competent incumbent President whom has shepherded the country through one of the worst economic disasters in recent history is frequently derided by said plutocrat and his minions as a "failed President" and that the recovery we're in isn't a "real recovery".
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)There is a bandwagon effect and some people want to vote for the perceived winner. Same with sports teams.
Said landslide will scare Republicants and make it easier for O to govern.
Lex
(34,108 posts)Ohio. Ohio. Ohio.
Tx4obama
(36,974 posts)DrToast
(6,414 posts)Usually the winner of the popular vote wins the electoral college.
Plus, even if we realize that the electoral college is more important, many of us would like to see Obama win the popular vote as well.