Why do dem primary results differ from exit polling

[SwampG8r]

But not the gop exit polling which seemz to reflect the final tallies.
Can this be explained?

[onecaliberal]

1. Cheating. Period.

[bkkyosemite]

3. Amen!

[msongs]

5. except when bernie WINS then it as pure as the driven snow nt

[bkkyosemite]

7. No just not as easy to rig against him...

[stellanoir]

25. Votes are being shaved electronically in most states which Bernie won also

https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2016/05/12/the-primaries-hillary-wins-the-lottery/

and before you start dismissing an intrepid researcher on probabilities with two Master's Degrees in Applied Mathematics maybe you'll be more impressed with a celebrity endorsement of his tireless efforts.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/tim-robbins/fix-our-election-system_b_9847102.html?utm_hp_ref=homepage

Every IT security geek has been aware that the EVM's & DRE's were highly hackable since their hurried installation in '03.

We have one of the worst ratings for election integrity among global democracies.

http://ivn.us/2016/03/24/united-states-worst-elections-long-standing-democracy/
http://www.fairvote.org/american_elections_ranked_worst_among_older_democracies_here_s_why
45th : http://www.politicususa.com/2015/02/26/shameful-american-democracy-ranks-45th-electoral-integrity.html
http://theconversation.com/american-elections-ranked-worst-among-western-democracies-heres-why-56485

There was an unofficial hearing on the voting machines after the travesty of '04 during which both Hillary & Obama (both new to the Senate) spoke about the unreliability & undependable nature of the technology that was contracted out to private partisan companies. Their source code is proprietary. If they had nothing to hide it would be open source.

Exit polls are the gold standard for determining election integrity globally.

[yuiyoshida]

26. and the results are in!

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Votes are being shaved electronically in most states which Bernie won also
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[stellanoir]

31. wows

that's a first for me

[pat_k]

12. Possibly early voting skew to Hillary.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1950541

[Ferd Berfel]

19. Maybe it's not as easy to rig some states (or areas) as others

when you get into the nuts and bolts of it

[dana_b]

45. Gasp!!

You don't think that.... No..... 😱

[highprincipleswork]

2. Hmmmmm. Good question.

Perhaps because some around here are so good at..........MATH!

[leftynyc]

4. Do you have some

links to back that up? Or is this like assuming that all 126,000 people in Brooklyn that got purged were going to vote for Bernie?

[Autumn]

6. Since the republicans match up so well I can only surmise democrats are not as smart as republicans

and just can't quite figure out how to vote. What other reason could there possibly be??

[merrily]

14. Oh, behaaaave! nt

[Autumn]

16. It pains me say that but there is no other logical explanation for it.

[merrily]

22. Well, at least one thing is certain: no shenanigans were involved, so there's that.

[firebrand80]

8. A criminal conspiracy involving hundreds of people across multiple states

That's my guess

[Ferd Berfel]

20. In an electronic era it doesn't take more than a few

[Android3.14]

9. Signs point to cheating

And this is why, when Hillary supporters scream that Sanders supporters have to vote for her in the general, I have to tell them that she already took my vote.

If I see a sincere change in her tune I will enthusiastically cast my ballot for her in the general. Until then, I do what I want.

And for those who feel a need to defend Ms. Inevitable, all I have to say is that for months and months all the polling points to the conclusion that a vote for Hillary in the Primary is a vote for Trump in the General.

[pat_k]

11. Possibly early voting.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=myposts

[JoePhilly]

42. Magic eight ball analysis!!!

[pat_k]

10. Possibly because early voting so skewed to Hillary on Democratic side.

I don't know if it's been investigated, but more and more states have early voting. And more and more people are talking advantage of it. Older people are much more likely to vote early, and those votes skew significantly to Hillary. I don't know if there is the same differential on the Republican side. Of course, early voters aren't at the polls for exits.

[merrily]

13. Exit polls are entirely unreliable-unless they somehow favor Hillary. Then, they're gospel.

[J_J_]

15. her popularity has been manufactured by the media

Just look at her rallies to see how popular she really is.

They were caught changing the hand count to match the machine tally...

[dbackjon]

18. If Rallies reflect voters

Then why did 50K show up for Bernie in Seattle, but only 17K voted state-wide in WA?

[stillwaiting]

23. That is not the number of votes but the number of delegates.

In caucus states we don't get the raw number of votes which is why HRC claiming to be 3 million votes ahead of Bernie is so very, very disingenuous (I'll be nice here).

[dbackjon]

24. wrong again, but thanks for playing.

[stillwaiting]

32. You really should not be a jackass when there is a chance you might be wrong.

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/washington

Read this report.

"Legislative district convention delegates"

"Not actual votes cast"

And just for you because you deserve it:

https://m.

You really thought that few people voted in the whole state?

[dbackjon]

35. OK - I can admit I was mistaken

But the numbers still don't translate well - based on the WP numbers, 1-3 Sanders voters in the entire state was at that rally.

[Loudestlib]

34. LOL

Rude and wrong!

[ContinentalOp]

30. The raw numbers of votes aren't hard to figure out

Bernie got 167k votes in WA.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511949686

[stillwaiting]

33. You are ever so helpful. nt

[Ferd Berfel]

21. just look at her negatives

[dbackjon]

17. In Arizona both parties had different exit polls than results

of course, when 40% of the vote is done via early voting, and not subject to exit polls, you will have a difference.


GOP - exit polls - Rubio 0%
actual votes - Rubio 13%



So at least in Arizona, your OP is false

[KingFlorez]

27. Exit polls are adjusted throughout the night

And if the network takes the poll in part of a state that might end up voting differently than the statewide total, then you get an inaccurate exit poll.

[ContinentalOp]

28. Link?

I saw an image somebody posted earlier that made this same claim but it was too small to actually read. Is there any evidence this is true or is it yet another fabrication that Sanders supporters will pass around unquestioningly?

One explanation I've seen for inaccurate exit polling is that younger voters are more likely to participate in exit polls. That's a problem that wouldn't affect Republicans as much!

[Renew Deal]

29. Do you have examples from both parties?

[GoneFishin]

36. Cheating.

[Tarc]

37. Why, those are Hillary evil ballot-zapping robots, of course

We will win. At all costs.

*BEEP*BOOP*BEEP*BOOP*

[hack89]

38. Are we simply to take your word for it?

or do you have multiple links that detail your accusation?

[ThePhilosopher04]

39. Why does Bernie draw tens of thousands of people to his rallies

while Clinton draws tens of people to hers? I'm sure the answer is similar.

[CentralCoaster]

40. Magnets. Sanders has superior magnets.

[silvershadow]

41. Very important! See this:

[SheenaR]

43. Thank you.

I couldn't find this.

[silvershadow]

44. I saved it when I saw it. ;) You are welcome! nt