2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCNN: Bernie Sanders has won 19 of the last 25 voting states and is on a roll!
Wow, I am shocked Fredricka Whitfield was allowed to use this as a topic of discussion..
Then the wonderful Nomiki Konst hammered the point home that there is a path to victory and the supers are gonna switch!!

brooklynite
(96,882 posts)What compelling argument is there?
AgerolanAmerican
(1,000 posts)The Ghost of Clinton Scandals Past, the Ghost of Clinton Scandals Present, and the scariest one of them all - the Ghost of Clinton Scandals Future.
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)Except, they may Not Be Ghosts.
apnu
(8,790 posts)
grasswire
(50,130 posts)And the Grim Reaper wearing an FBI badge.
TwilightZone
(28,835 posts)BillZBubb
(10,650 posts)Good stuff.
dchill
(41,632 posts)
brush
(59,283 posts)Since March 8th, Sanders has won the following:
Michigan, Idaho, Utah, Alaska, Hawaii, Washington, Wisconsin, Wyoming, Rhode Island, Indiana, West Virginia
Since March 8th, Sanders has LOST the following:
Mississippi, Northern Marianas, Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Arizona, New York, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Guam
firebrand80
(2,760 posts)bjo59
(1,166 posts)uponit7771
(92,585 posts)Mary Mac
(344 posts)Hillary won in March.
MrMickeysMom
(20,453 posts)1) She polls worse against Trump, lately there is zero edge on that.
2) She has secrets and may have committed crimes.
3) Clinton loses many more Sanders voters than the other way.
4) Her legislative accomplishments as senator were unimpressive.
5) Sanders, the Amendment King left a lasting and substantial legislative record.
6) Todays thinkers and activists oppose her The great raft of intellectuals, writers and activists deeply devoted to social justice, largely permanent outsiders uninterested in lobbying for a job in the administration, overwhelmingly favor Sanders.
7) Superdelegates are hardline Democrats. Their loyalty is to the
Democratic Party, which primarily is to keeping it viable, keeping it in charge, keeping
membership high, keeping donations coming in. This is why they will
side with Sanders at the convention.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)
Faux pas
(15,580 posts)

redstateblues
(10,565 posts)Vote2016
(1,198 posts)TexasTowelie
(119,504 posts)since it isn't true.
MattP
(3,304 posts)Or Marc Lamont Hill who makes it two for Bernie and there is never a Hillary person
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)coffee in my mouth when I read this. Is this the new talking point for today? The Victim Card?
KPN
(16,485 posts)
oberliner
(58,724 posts)Bernie has won 10 of the last 25 contests.
coffeeAM
(180 posts)oberliner
(58,724 posts)If you exclude the territories (which I'm not sure why that distinction is being made), then he has won 13 of the last 25 states.
Incidentally, two of the states that he did not win, New York and Florida, had more voters than all 13 of the states he won in that period combined.
uponit7771
(92,585 posts)MattP
(3,304 posts)beaglelover
(4,213 posts)Stick a fork in Bernie, he'd done done done!
CentralMass
(16,074 posts)Zynx
(21,328 posts)There isn't a path to victory. This is going to be over June 7th. Stop this crap. You're just gonna make this more painful when it happens.
dana_b
(11,546 posts)we have every right to continue to fight. Don't like it? Trash thread.
metroins
(2,550 posts)It's just cringeworthy...we see people posting complete fantasy and trying to pass it off as fiction. Sanders doesn't just need a Hail Mary in the last 3 seconds of the game, he needs like 700 of them in the last second.
Super delegates are not going to switch, Hillary is ahead by every metric, the voters are speaking and the party supports her.
Fantasy does not equal reality.
grasswire
(50,130 posts)THAT is fantasy.
KPN
(16,485 posts)
grasswire
(50,130 posts)get used to it
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)Becoming the new normal....three to four months after foreign press and very elite media said this
Trump scares the living day lights out of the establishment
apnu
(8,790 posts)Especially in the South. Hillary got out to an early lead there and hasn't lost it yet.
She's won more states, more PDs, and more votes than Bernie. His early campaign was sluggish. There are a lot of reasons for that. Nobody took him seriously, the media ignored him as a crackpot, he was not focusing on PoC's and women's issues, an his ground game in those states wasn't strong enough.
Pity that. I wonder what the results would be if Bernie had come out of the gate stronger.
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)The corporate media doesn't want to lose their cushy jobs in the rigged system they heard him speak of. They depend on it.
apnu
(8,790 posts)libdem4life
(13,877 posts)lostnfound
(16,887 posts)Go figure. For some inexplicable reason they found the most obnoxious unlikable showman and played him 24-7, until our easily-led countrymen were under his spell.
Thus making it a choice between "corrupt and unlikable" or "horrifying".
bvar22
(39,909 posts)effectively hiding Bernie from the public, and giving all that free National Media to Trump and the Republicans.
DWS may be the single person most responsible for President Trump.
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)That was discussed in thread after thread. Oh well, thanks for the support.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)He was able to get his message across repeatedly through rallies and other events where he was able to repeat his talking points, unfiltered and unchallenged, much to the delight of the crowds who supported him.
Generally speaking, I think Hillary was stronger than Bernie in the debates. Bernie was at his best in other forums.
bvar22
(39,909 posts)and so do most of the people who watched the debates.
A properly scheduled National Debate is worth Millions in FREE National Exposure to MILLIONS of of voters.
While the rallies were good, what was the max exposure?..20K?...
and THAT was mostly hidden by the Media. Name Recognition was BIG in the early Primaries.
I would have preferred about 3 debates BEFORE the Iowa Caucus.
It that had happened, it would be Hillary playing catch up now.
Hillary surrogate DWS really gave Hillary a helping hand by not scheduling debates, and may be the single most responsible person for President Trump.
....ALL that FREE National Exposure for Trump just to keep Bernie hidden from most Americans.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)Maybe more debates would've been good for Bernie. I actually think things played out well for him in terms of being able to rally people to his message. His campaign did a good job of using social media and other methods of getting his message across.
I would point out that by the time of Super Tuesday there had been six debates and Hillary did very well on that day. There were another three in the lead-up to the NY and other east coast primaries and Hillary also did very well there.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)That's why he lost. Bad decision on the part of his campaign. Hillary racked up huge wins in those states and Bernie couldn't make it up. If he had made more of a play in the south east, it would be a much closer contest today.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)
You are being kind. His path isn't that clear.
riversedge
(74,539 posts)coffeeAM
(180 posts)been the second half of the primary season. You know, fading into oblivion after the South!
CentralMass
(16,074 posts)At this point 3,149 standard delegates have been awarded
Hillary has 1,716 and Bernie has 1,433. So Hillary enjoys a 283 delegate lead at this point.
While the reported super delegate count committed so far is Hillary 524 to Bernie's 40. Bernie's 40 out of 564 superd's is 7% of the 564 while Hillary's 524 is 93% of the 564 who have committed to date. Clearly a sham, and the superd's don't officially commit and get tallied until the convention and can and most likely will change.
Bernie is 283 delegates behind and can tie or surpass Hillary in standard pledged delegates before the convention and before she can secure enough standard delegates to win the nomination.
etherealtruth
(22,165 posts)The "supers" should respect and follow the popular vote
CentralMass
(16,074 posts)Of the the 564 superd's that have committed so far 7% have committed for Bernie and 93% have committed for Hillary.
KPN
(16,485 posts)One, it's been suppressed and subverted in many ways -- hardly popular.
Two, caucuses don't involve popular vote.
etherealtruth
(22,165 posts)Voter suppression is also a significant problem that plagues our system. it needs to be fixed.
The candidate receiving the largest proportion f the popular vote should win the nomination.
BillZBubb
(10,650 posts)You want to disenfranchise them because their states chose to caucus?
Popular vote alone isn't a fair method.
etherealtruth
(22,165 posts)What is done is done in this cycle .... their vote should count. I am looking forward.
I would like to see caucuses done away with and replaced with a popular primary vote. Let everyone have a chance to participate and make it count.
I also want to see us aggressively pursue fair elections ... as has historically been the problem, voters in poor and minority areas have been plagued by voting irregularities and voting difficulties
BillZBubb
(10,650 posts)etherealtruth
(22,165 posts)Since they exist ... my feeling is that they should vote with the voters. Their votes should mirror the popular vote (which essentially negates any role they might play)
coffeeAM
(180 posts)caucuses, the narrative changed.
etherealtruth
(22,165 posts)... participation of the voters. is it your contention that caucuses are inclusive ?
I want a system where participation is encouraged and accessible to all .... the caucus process is extremely limiting and excludes 80+ % of voters.
I don't care who moans or who won a caucus .... it is an exceptionally unfair and exclusive practice and should be replaced .
I do not support any process that stifles or discourages the vote .... that includes voter suppression and irregularities that have largely plagued poor and/ or minority areas.
quaker bill
(8,245 posts)mixing vote totals from inherently low turn out caucus states with higher turn out primaries is bogus math.
KPN
(16,485 posts)my preferred candidate -- Bernie) and States that are historically and predominantly blue vs States that are red (w/ work against Hillary).
Strikes me that the solution for Presidential primaries is all States do it the same.
coffeeAM
(180 posts)quaker bill
(8,245 posts)If everyone votes in the same standard method, with the same access to the polls, then the total popular vote would mean something. As long as the processes are different, like auto-registration/vote by mail, contrasted with a three step caucus, requiring travel and repeated attendance for hours, then cobbling the "vote totals" together and calling it a valid result will always be a problem.
It is called method error. You do not combine data collected by radically different methods in that manner. In a meta sense one could perhaps combine the weighted percentage outcomes with a big caveat for limited reliability, but you cannot combine the raw #s for a vote total. It just is not statistically valid.
Progressive dog
(7,441 posts)which is why he is way behind in pledged delegates. He needs to beat Hillary by an average of nearly 2:1 in the remaining states to tie her in delegates.
NewImproved Deal
(534 posts)

oberliner
(58,724 posts)Last 25 voting states
13 won by Sanders: WV, IN, RI, WY, WI, WA, HI, AK, UT, ID, MI, ME, NE
12 won by Clinton: PA, MD, DE, CT, NY, AZ, OH, NC, MO, IL, FL, MS
And two of the states won by Clinton (NY and FL) had more voters than all thirteen of the states won by Sanders combined.
CentralMass
(16,074 posts)With 1,716 pledged delegates Hillary does not have enough to secure the nomination.
Bernie still can either tie or surpass Hillary in pledged delegates before the convention.
SFnomad
(3,473 posts)CentralMass
(16,074 posts)Hillary has not secured the nomination. Based on the trends, she will have not have secured the nomination before the convention.. it is also not impossible that Bernie will tie or surpass Hillary in pledged (standard delegates) by the convention.
coffeeAM
(180 posts)oberliner
(58,724 posts)Takes only a little bit of time to look up the correct information. That's one of the best things about the digital age.
SFnomad
(3,473 posts)coffeeAM
(180 posts)onenote
(44,995 posts)coffeeAM
(180 posts)tritsofme
(19,010 posts)ViseGrip
(3,133 posts)grief therapy? berners are used to the abuse. we'll fare much better, but me think we're going to see real soon how the hillary people handle death....of a campaign. their own.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Here it is being outright cheered.
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)I'm happy to count her among my friends.
coffeeAM
(180 posts)stevenleser
(32,886 posts)riversedge
(74,539 posts)Beacool
(30,355 posts)Hillary will be the nominee, the rest is white noise.
The super delegates will NOT switch to the losing candidate. Let alone a candidate who they don't support in the first place.
Give the nomination to the loser of the primaries and really see a revolution take place within the Democratic party. Did any of you think that millions of Hillary supporters would agree with this????
Sheer lunacy.......
GreatGazoo
(4,078 posts)onenote
(44,995 posts)Interesting.
cui bono
(19,926 posts)jillan
(39,451 posts)24 is how many states Hillary won.
quaker bill
(8,245 posts)oberliner
(58,724 posts)Among the 14 that Bernie won are Alaska, Hawaii, Idaho, Utah, Wyoming, Nebraska, Maine, and Kansas. All the voters in all of those eight states added together do not add up to half the number of people who voted in Florida, which Hillary won handily.
quaker bill
(8,245 posts)two different models with two completely different turnouts. That said, one can win the popular vote and still lose the Presidency.
I live in FL and am unimpressed. Trump won here by pretty big margins too.
coffeeAM
(180 posts)ViseGrip
(3,133 posts)One hundred million to mideast leaders? How can she represent anyone in this country?
SHE CAN'T. SIMPLY.