Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
 

imagine2015

(2,054 posts)
Mon May 30, 2016, 11:40 AM May 2016

Democratic Party Leaders Courting Disaster Backing The Only Candidate Trump Could Beat, Clinton



Establishment Democrats Courting Disaster
by John Atcheson
May 30, 2016


As Hillary falls behind Trump, the Establishment is doing all it can to continue to discredit Sanders -- who beats Trump handily -- and chase him out of the race. Meanwhile, they comfort themselves with self-deluding lies to justify backing the only candidate Trump could beat.

Here’s some of the myths they’re spinning:

Myth #1: Sanders can’t win and his supporters can’t “do the math.”

Here’s the reality: Sanders needs 885 delegates to get the nomination; Hillary needs 613; there are 930 delegates remaining to be won and it is unlikely that either candidate can clinch the nomination without the aid of superdelegates. Meanwhile, Sanders is surging, while Hillary is self-destructing, so many of those superdelegates may be rethinking their commitment to Hillary. And if they aren’t, they ought to be.

Sanders has pulled even in California, and by the end of June 7, there’s a good chance he may go into the Democratic Convention having won 19 of the last 25 primaries, and certainly he will have won the majority of states in the second half. Try doing that math.

Myth # 2: Sanders’ numbers would drop in the general election:

First, Sanders has been under a concerted and systematic assault in the mainstream media and from the Democratic Establishment since he began to threaten Hillary’s “inevitable” candidacy, yet his numbers have continued to skyrocket up in the polls. There’s little more the Republicans could do in this regard. Which brings us to the Establishment’s second error.

Any political consultant will tell you that the two most important numbers in predicting a candidate’s performance are their unfavorability/favorability ratings and how trustworthy voters perceive the candidate to be.

Here’s why.

If a candidate is widely trusted, and if he or she has a net positive favorability rating, it’s harder to gain traction with negative adds. Sanders has the highest favorability and trust ratings of any candidate, and his freedom from PACs and corporate money, together with more than 30 years of consistently pursuing policies that favor the middle class and the working poor makes him all but bulletproof. There are no flip-flops, no equivocations, no spins, no claims that can be made upon him by moneyed interests. That’s why Sanders’ numbers keep getting better even though the media is doing it's best to burry him.

Myth #3: Sanders needs to drop out; Hillary will do better when she can focus on Trump.

If Sanders’ numbers make him bulletproof, Hillary’s make her a sitting duck. A wounded sitting duck. She has a high net unfavorable rating, and she’s even more distrusted than Trump in some polls, so political attack ads will land on fertile ground.

Her unfavorability and distrust issues are not just the result of the decades long assault on her by what she calls the “vast, right-wing conspiracy,” although that’s certainly real enough. No, Hillary’s problem is that she’s a lousy candidate. In fact, in both 2008 and this year, she got less popular as soon as she began to campaign for the Presidency.

Hillary is seen as an over-scripted, cynically calculating, automaton at a time when people are craving authenticity and passion. This both plays into and increases the distrust and likability issue. And even while she continues to masquerade as a progressive, her campaign is contemplating whether and when to move to the center. Talk about tone deaf.

Trump can only win if voter turnout is low, and Hillary Clinton all but guarantees a low turnout.

It doesn’t help that she has a history of lying, then doubling down on her lies when caught – something she’s doing again with the IG’s report on the emails.

So why is the elite Establishment clinging to Hillary ....? Could it be they are so eager to retain power that they’d rather risk losing than backing someone who is not one of their own?

Read the full article including the writers complete response to the corporate and establishment "myths" regarding Clinton's campaign at:
http://commondreams.org/views/2016/05/30/establishment-democrats-courting-disaster


11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

CorporatistNation

(2,546 posts)
1. Here Is A Medley Of Fibs... A Truly Sad Way To Go... Is It Not?
Mon May 30, 2016, 11:42 AM
May 2016
Totally self inflicted... Unforced ERRORS!



MSNBC To the deniers... Watch THIS Video... It is not comforting to think that she may well be the Democratic Nominee...

Hillary really betrayed Andrea Mitchell... The entire context of this report was of a solemn nature... A Funeral so to speak...

Andrea Mitchell "I do not see this report as ...ANYTHING BUT... DEVASTATING!"

Chuck Todd "After this I don't think that she could get confirmed for Attorney General!"

Lots of FIBBING by Hillary here.. for more than a year!

 

imagine2015

(2,054 posts)
6. Republicans called Obama a "Communist Muslim from Kenya" How did that work out in 2008 and 2012?
Mon May 30, 2016, 11:58 AM
May 2016

And he's a black power radical on top of that!

Calling Bernie Sander's that "communist from the socialist state of Vermont" will have even less impact.

The 1920's and 1950's anti-communist hysteria doesn't work so well today. This is 2016.

99Forever

(14,524 posts)
10. Tailgunner Joe McCarthy, is that you?
Mon May 30, 2016, 12:53 PM
May 2016

You still have no shame, I see. Did your watch stop in 1955?

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
7. All politicians have large egos. It's a requirement.
Mon May 30, 2016, 12:32 PM
May 2016

Maybe the better descriptive phrase would be strong ego. That's a part of the psychogical description of a healthy adult. But surely you know that

Running for office requires saying "Vote for me." a whole lot.

 

NorthCarolina

(11,197 posts)
8. Hillary will never be 45.
Mon May 30, 2016, 12:38 PM
May 2016

Clinton fatigue, Clinton controversies, Clinton baggage, Clinton Foundation, completely upside down favorability rating, DC insider, and a faux progressive will all come together in a perfect storm to push Trump over the top. The polls are clear AND consistent. Bernie is the only Dem candidate that can possibly beat Trump. Trump represents, for better or worse, "change", whereas Hillary just continues in the tradition of the long slide to a fully functioning oligarchy. She will never be 45.

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Democratic Party Leaders ...