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Bill USA

(6,436 posts)
Mon Jun 6, 2016, 04:51 PM Jun 2016

Hillary Clinton's biggest advantage over the King of Clowns, Donald Trump

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/03/


California—the home of the next big Democratic primary--may be the Golden State, but many Democratic insiders seem worried their chances against Donald Trump are already tarnished. While the national horse race has indeed temporarily narrowed, it seems unlikely that Bernie Sanders is the cause, or that Democratic primary is causing Hillary Clinton lasting damage.

Polls show Democrats are more optimistic than one might expect during a supposed contentious primary. The latest CBS/New York Times poll shows a full 80 percent of Democrats nationally feel "hopeful" about the future of their party, compared to 55 percent of Republicans who say the same about their own party. And while Democrats are divided on whether the party is divided (48 percent "divided" versus 50 percent "united&quot , Republicans are nearly unanimous on their intra-party rancor (84 percent "divided&quot . In this case agreement is no prize.



Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton


Comparing the same poll's results to an earlier 2008 CBS/NYT poll suggests there's actually even less Democratic division today than in our last competitive primary. While slightly more than a quarter (28 percent) of Sanders voters say they won't support Clinton if she's the nominee, slightly more (35 percent) of 2008 Clinton voters said at the time they would not support Obama. That the party coalesced in 2008 doesn't automatically mean it will again in 2016, but it certainly serves as a good reminder of how temporarily fractious primaries can be.

In fact other data further suggests the current divisions are not just temporary, they're overblown. In the same recent poll, over eight in ten Democrats say Clinton will be able to unite the party, compared to just two-thirds saying the same about Sanders. And while much is made of the supposed lack of Democratic enthusiasm behind her, Clinton trails Sanders in "enthusiastic support" by single digits – hardly the stuff of party panic.

So it's Trump—the candidate who cruised through his primary with record turnout—who is damaged today. According to Gallup, Trump's favorable ratings are lower among Republicans than the ratings of past nominees, and half of his own party's base wishes for a different nominee. The CBS/NYT poll shows fewer than two-thirds of Republicans predict unity behind their candidate. And, amazingly, a quarter of Republicans think a Trump presidency will "make the U.S. image in the world worse" (almost no Democrats offer this view about Clinton.)
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Hillary Clinton's biggest advantage over the King of Clowns, Donald Trump (Original Post) Bill USA Jun 2016 OP
Rump will not win one west coast state MFM008 Jun 2016 #1
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