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2016 Postmortem

CreekDog

(46,192 posts) Thu Jun 9, 2016, 04:12 AM Jun 2016

0

I know some here want Exit Poll data for California, but it couldn't tell the whole story anyway

Even if Exit Polling was done.

Most Californians vote by mail, most vote prior to Election Day.

The results on Election Day however, do show that Bernie was relatively close to Hillary among Election Day votes, but lost badly among mail in votes prior to Election Day.

This is in line with polling which tightened by Election Day, but on average had a high single digit lead when voting began a month ago.

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I know some here want Exit Poll data for California, but it couldn't tell the whole story anyway (Original Post) CreekDog Jun 2016 OP

this was interesting tomm2thumbs Jun 2016 #1

It says absentee voter exit poll and absentee voters were only about 60% of the vote CreekDog Jun 2016 #2

This message was self-deleted by its author rjsquirrel Jun 2016 #3

tomm2thumbs

(13,297 posts)

1. this was interesting

Reply to CreekDog (Original post)

Thu Jun 9, 2016, 04:45 AM

Jun 2016

Huge well-controlled CA exit poll deviates 16% from Dem results, but only .07% for GOP.

https://www.reddit.com/r/SandersForPresident/comments/4n5o2z/huge_wellcontrolled_ca_exit_poll_deviates_16_from/

link to data
https://public.tableau.com/profile/paulmitche11#!/vizhome/CapitolWeeklyDemPresidentialPrimaryAVExitPoll/USDEMPRIM

CreekDog

(46,192 posts)

2. It says absentee voter exit poll and absentee voters were only about 60% of the vote

Reply to tomm2thumbs (Reply #1)

Thu Jun 9, 2016, 04:53 AM

Jun 2016

why would you expect absentee results to match up final total results when they never have historically?

Response to CreekDog (Original post)

rjsquirrel This message was self-deleted by its author.

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