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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,705 posts)
Mon Jun 20, 2016, 01:21 PM Jun 2016

Brand New Monmouth University Poll- Clinton 47% Trump 40% (registered voters) 49-41 (likely voters)






West Long Branch, NJ – In a head-to-head contest for president, Hillary Clinton leads Donald
Trump by 7 points among registered voters and by 8 points among likely voters. The Democrat’s lead
shrinks by a point when potential third party support is taken into account. Both major party nominees
remain unpopular, but more voters say it is important to keep Trump rather than Clinton out of the White
House. The latest Monmouth University Poll also finds that attitudes towards terrorism and the
Republican nominee’s proposed Muslim ban have not changed much since the Orlando tragedy.
Currently, Clinton holds a 7 point lead in a direct match-up against Trump – 47% to 40% among
registered voters nationally. Among those who are likely to cast ballots in November, the Democrat’s
edge expands to 49%–41%. Importantly, Clinton holds a 47% to 39% lead in the all-important swing
states – ten states where the winning margin in the 2012 election was less than seven points


http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/568faad2-81ab-4bd0-b373-8577326e76bd.pdf
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Brand New Monmouth University Poll- Clinton 47% Trump 40% (registered voters) 49-41 (likely voters) (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2016 OP
Nice! workinclasszero Jun 2016 #1
We always knew Hillary was the candidate to beat Trump but.... Walk away Jun 2016 #2
"The Democrat’s lead shrinks by a point when potential third party support is taken into account" TwilightZone Jun 2016 #3
Sounds good.... wcmagumba Jun 2016 #4
I simply can't believe that 40 to 41% of Americans are that brain dead! Binkie The Clown Jun 2016 #5
Let's assume for the sake of discussion she gets 2/3 of the undecideds. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2016 #6
A variety of reasons. TwilightZone Jun 2016 #7
A+ Rated Poll-Top Ranked Poll in 538 System Stallion Jun 2016 #8
I am still going wth Trump will not be the candidate and we are wasting too much time on him hollysmom Jun 2016 #9
Tweety predicted an 8 point spread last week..... Adrahil Jun 2016 #10
That would translate into a massive electoral college landslide win. DCBob Jun 2016 #11
Moving in the right direction! BlueNoMatterWho Jun 2016 #12

Walk away

(9,494 posts)
2. We always knew Hillary was the candidate to beat Trump but....
Mon Jun 20, 2016, 01:24 PM
Jun 2016

just as important, she is the candidate to run the "Down Ticket" table for us!!!! I love the Democratic party!

TwilightZone

(25,342 posts)
3. "The Democrat’s lead shrinks by a point when potential third party support is taken into account"
Mon Jun 20, 2016, 01:25 PM
Jun 2016

Interesting. It would seem that Johnson's early poll bump (~10% in some polls) is already going anyway, just like 2012.

It's only one poll, of course, but the conventional wisdom around here is that he'd get a lot of I support. I considered it short-lived - guess we'll see.

wcmagumba

(2,871 posts)
4. Sounds good....
Mon Jun 20, 2016, 01:27 PM
Jun 2016

I just hope the thugs don't try the old switch-a-roo with another candidate at the convention....

Binkie The Clown

(7,911 posts)
5. I simply can't believe that 40 to 41% of Americans are that brain dead!
Mon Jun 20, 2016, 01:37 PM
Jun 2016

How the hell does someone like T-Rump ever get more than the 5% lunatic fringe?

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,705 posts)
6. Let's assume for the sake of discussion she gets 2/3 of the undecideds.
Mon Jun 20, 2016, 01:38 PM
Jun 2016

That would be the biggest landslide since 1984.

TwilightZone

(25,342 posts)
7. A variety of reasons.
Mon Jun 20, 2016, 01:47 PM
Jun 2016

Some people vote straight ticket, regardless.

Some people vote R because their parents, grandparents, etc. did.

Some people aren't paying much attention yet.

Some people are mostly apolitical and won't decide until the last week, month, etc.

Some people are still in primary mode and may be voting for Trump (in the polls) with that in mind.

After the conventions, I think we'll get a better idea of how many people truly support Trump. I think that's when the average voter starts paying a little more attention, plus it'll remove some of the primary effect.

I agree, though - it's kind of hard to understand his appeal beyond the nutjobs.

hollysmom

(5,946 posts)
9. I am still going wth Trump will not be the candidate and we are wasting too much time on him
Mon Jun 20, 2016, 02:28 PM
Jun 2016

Republic and vote out of fear, democrats tend to want reasons to vote for people. but still the fear the republicans are going on now is that Trump is their candidate. I still think the emperor has no clothes and it will be seen at the convention. I don't say they will be doing it legally, but they will do it.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
11. That would translate into a massive electoral college landslide win.
Mon Jun 20, 2016, 03:02 PM
Jun 2016

Probably close to 400 electoral votes. Maybe something like this..

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