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Mon Jun 27, 2016, 09:12 AM

 

Rocky stretch hurts Trump in poll, but race with Clinton still close

Trump, Clinton are near-tied when third party candidates are included, poll finds

Republican Donald Trump emerged relatively unscathed from one of the rockiest phases of his campaign, lagging rival Hillary Clinton by 5 percentage points but essentially tied when third-party candidates are included, according to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/rocky-stretch-hurts-trump-in-poll-but-race-with-clinton-still-close-2016-06-26

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Reply Rocky stretch hurts Trump in poll, but race with Clinton still close (Original post)
Human101948 Jun 2016 OP
DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2016 #1
Human101948 Jun 2016 #2
dsc Jun 2016 #4
MohRokTah Jun 2016 #5
DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2016 #6
Her Sister Jun 2016 #3
rjsquirrel Jun 2016 #7
DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2016 #8
LenaBaby61 Jun 2016 #9

Response to Human101948 (Original post)

Mon Jun 27, 2016, 09:16 AM

1. Thank you for bringing that to our attention.

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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #1)

Mon Jun 27, 2016, 09:19 AM

2. That doesn't make you nervous?

 

It sure looks great when they go head to head, but throw in those other candidates and it's too damn close.

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Response to Human101948 (Reply #2)

Mon Jun 27, 2016, 09:22 AM

4. she is up in the average by over 5 when third parties are included

she is up by over 6 when they aren't.

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Response to Human101948 (Reply #2)

Mon Jun 27, 2016, 09:22 AM

5. Doesn't make me even dlightly nervous.

 

Third party candidates always poll like this in June of presidential election years.

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Response to Human101948 (Reply #2)

Mon Jun 27, 2016, 09:26 AM

6. Nope. I do not believe for a minute Johnson will get 10% of the vote and Stein will get 6%.

I also take solace in the fact that those results are contradicted by the results in the A + rated ABC WAPO poll*:


http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1178a12016Election.pdf


Clinton 47 Trump 37 Johnson 7 Stein 3



*http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

The pregnant question. Could Trump win? Of course. But I would rather have our hand than his.


HRC leads by 6 points (with rounding in a four man race) and 7 points with rounding in a two man race:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5952.html


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html





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Response to Human101948 (Original post)

Mon Jun 27, 2016, 09:21 AM

3. Latinos are hard to poll!

 

Even when taking that into account.

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Response to Human101948 (Original post)


Response to rjsquirrel (Reply #7)

Mon Jun 27, 2016, 09:40 AM

8. Never try to convince a pundit his narrative is flawed when his livelihood rests on him believing...

Never try to convince a pundit his narrative is flawed when his livelihood rests on him believing it isn't.

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Response to Human101948 (Original post)

Mon Jun 27, 2016, 09:41 AM

9. TOO early for me to get too excited with any polling showing Hillary leading...

But I really don't pay polling ANY attention when there's a 3rd party candidate included. That type of polling is for the birds, and I don't take it seriously.

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