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538 launches 2016 Election Forecast: Hillary 80.6% chance of winning; Trump 19.3% (Original Post) morningfog Jun 2016 OP
Even though he said MFM008 Jun 2016 #1
His Trump prediction was not his model's projection. Adrahil Jun 2016 #7
K & R Koinos Jun 2016 #2
Massive K & R. Thanks for posting. Surya Gayatri Jun 2016 #3
Wow. KMOD Jun 2016 #4
It looks within striking distance. We need 50 state strategy. morningfog Jun 2016 #6
What's so exciting about a 50 state strategy... tallahasseedem Jun 2016 #10
Good for Hillary! nt Stellar Jun 2016 #5
Excellent news! NastyRiffraff Jun 2016 #8
Thank you for sharing! tallahasseedem Jun 2016 #9
I would put the probability of a Clinton win at 98% Vattel Jun 2016 #11

MFM008

(19,776 posts)
1. Even though he said
Wed Jun 29, 2016, 03:37 PM
Jun 2016

Our Seahawks would win super bowl 49...we did not.
And he said Trump would never be the nominee.....
It's still good to see.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
7. His Trump prediction was not his model's projection.
Wed Jun 29, 2016, 05:16 PM
Jun 2016

And his models are probability based. So an 80% likely of a win, mean's a 20% (1 in 5) chance of losing. Work hard, everyone!

tallahasseedem

(6,716 posts)
10. What's so exciting about a 50 state strategy...
Wed Jun 29, 2016, 06:26 PM
Jun 2016

this year is that it looks like we have a very legitimate shot at gaining seats!

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