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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumA Trump presidency and ISIS: Aggressive U.S. intervention is exactly what they want
ISIS is hoping the U.S. takes the bait by sending ground troops and Trump in the White House certainly willSEAN ILLING
The Islamic States worldview springs from a prophetic theology of seventh-century Islam. Terrestrial grievances aside, what they claim to want most is an apocalyptic confrontation between Muslims and infidels in Dabiq, a remote village in Northern Syria near the Turkish border. The Prophet reportedly identified Dabiq as the scene of the final battle between the armies of Islam and Rome. The battle is said to signal the countdown to the apocalypse, or something like that. Dabiq was one of the first sites ISIS captured in its early days precisely because of its theological import. They even named their propaganda magazine after the town.
Understanding this bit of prophecy is essential to understanding ISISs strategy. They are inviting a war they cannot win because theyre not interested in winning it. This is about goading the West into a bloody confrontation on foreign soil in order to realize a fantastical theological vision. They want as many Western boots on the ground in Iraq and Syria as possible.
ISIS will have to be defeated militarily. But we have to be careful about how we do that. A methodical campaign that avoids the mistakes of the Iraq War is a useful starting point. We have to contain and stunt ISISs progress without allowing the conflict in Iraq and Syria to further destabilize the region. That may mean a slow bleed approach, as The Atlantics Graeme Wood put it, is the best of bad military options.
All of this is easier said than done, and there are no risk-free strategies. But knowing what ISIS wants is central to any effort to combat them. What we cant do is take their bait at every turn and fumble our way into another large-scale ground conflict. This is exactly what ISIS hopes we will do, and everything theyve said and done thus far confirms it.
Given their desire to provoke a final conflict, it should surprise no one that ISIS loyalists are eager to see a Donald Trump presidency. To realize their vision, they need help from an American president. It was, after all, George W. Bushs myopic decision to invade Iraq that paved the way for ISISs existence. Now they need America to overreach again, and Trump is their best bet.
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http://www.salon.com/2016/07/05/a_trump_presidency_and_isis_aggressive_u_s_intervention_is_exactly_what_they_want/
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A Trump presidency and ISIS: Aggressive U.S. intervention is exactly what they want (Original Post)
DonViejo
Jul 2016
OP
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)1. Yes. ISIS is an end-times group that NEEDS
the U.S. involved. Plus, we have our own approximately 30 million Americans who are also waiting rather impatiently for The End and who agree emphatically. It just wouldn't be Armageddon without us.
moonscape
(4,673 posts)2. And Isis activity is likely to be this election's October Surprise ... in an
effort to get Trump into the White House.