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MineralMan

(146,284 posts)
Wed Jul 13, 2016, 12:18 PM Jul 2016

Polls Schmolls - Disregard Polls for Now

Polling is all over the place right now, between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. The polling companies are still trying to work out how to poll for this general election, really. The conventions haven't been held, people are not seriously considering their choices yet, and it's really impossible at this time to know how the campaigns that will start after the conventions will affect voter sentiment.

You can currently find a poll to support whatever conclusion that suits you. Go for it, if that's your thing, but realize that general election polling prior to the conventions is notoriously inaccurate. Once the nominees have been announced for real and once most people begin actually thinking about the election, the polls will settle down into a pattern that can be tracked.

For now, though, general election polling is pretty much just noise. The campaigns have yet to begin. People are still arguing about the primaries. Wait a bit. Then, the trends will begin to become more clear. For now, if you have a favorite candidate, which I assume is Hillary Clinton on this website, you can start making plans for the general election campaign and GOTV efforts. They'll be ramping up soon and there will be many opportunities for activism.

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Polls Schmolls - Disregard Polls for Now (Original Post) MineralMan Jul 2016 OP
Once the VP's are chosen and the conventions are over. The polls will paint a better picture. NWCorona Jul 2016 #1
Yep. Orsino Jul 2016 #2

Orsino

(37,428 posts)
2. Yep.
Wed Jul 13, 2016, 12:48 PM
Jul 2016

When running mates are in place, and when we see what emerges from the (figurative, I hope) smoking crater in Cleveland, we'll begin to get useful polling data. Ask again in September.

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