How much of a post conference bounce in the polls will Trump get?

[La Lioness Priyanka]

I'll do a secondary poll about how hysterical some du'ers will get over it, but for now, how much of a bounce will he get?

28 votes, 3 passes | Time left: Unlimited
	1%
	7 (25%)
	2%
	1 (4%)
	3%
	1 (4%)
	4%
	1 (4%)
	5%
	6 (21%)
	No bump
	12 (43%)
	3 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
Show usernames Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll

[RonniePudding]

1. I think there's actually a chance it' a net negative in the end.

[Liberal_in_LA]

13. True..it's wed and primary story is still plagiarism

[RandySF]

2. Won't be much.

The Democrats are next week.

[John Poet]

3. Yeah, you left out the "negative bump" option.

So far, we have 2 plagiarizations in 2 nights.... I don't see how they get any positive press coverage out of this clown show.

[La Lioness Priyanka]

5. traditionally candidates get a bump after making a VP pick, and then after the conference

it's not a lasting thing, but they get a slight bounce in the polls

[John Poet]

8. Of course, I know most candidates get some kind of poll bump.

Usually, this comes after NOT having plagiarizing speakers for the first two days of the convention, and other negative stories.

I think there's real potential for a net loss this time.

[La Lioness Priyanka]

9. if so it will be the first time. and it would be delightful if it did happen.

[Her Sister]

14. I missed the 2nd plagiarism! Who/What?

How is that possible to plagiarize again after the 1st night?

[Nonhlanhla]

17. His son /nt

[Her Sister]

18. Not the best gene pool in the IQ department!

[John Poet]

20. Trump Jr. borrowed some lines out of a conservative publication.

The details are posted, you probably found them by now.

Yeah, two nights in a row... can they keep it going??

[Stallion]

4. In Most Polls National and State He's Just Straightlining a Little Above 40

especially if you look at the aggregate polls-I don't see how he ever gets any where close to 50% or a majority

See National and State Poll graphs

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster#2016-general-election

[LonePirate]

6. I think it depends on his speech on Thursday.

If it is one of his rambling, incoherent, hate-filled speeches, then he will receive almost no bounce and may even lose support. If he transforms himself and gives a typical Repub convention speech like Romney, then he will gain a couple of points. However, he will likely lose those points in a week's time if Clinton emerges from a united Dem convention and gives one of her standard powerful speeches.

[La Lioness Priyanka]

7. i totally agree with you.

[Stallion]

10. Yep Looking for 6-7 Point Clinton Lead After Democratic Convention

we have some compelling, historical speeches that will lift the Democratic Party

[Binkie The Clown]

11. You didn't include negative numbers. It'll give him a MINUS 10 pt "bump". n/t

[merrily]

12. This convention should be driving his ratings down, esp. in swing states.

I have not been watching the convention itself, only the coverage, but, from the coverage, sounds like an incompetent mess.

Tweets and calling in to TV shows do not a Presidential campaign make.

[MoonRiver]

15. They killed any bump with insane OTT rhetoric and Melania's plagiarism.

Best Rump can hope for is no poll decrease, imo.

[TheBlackAdder]

16. WHAT!?!

.



.

[La Lioness Priyanka]

19. lol

[TheFarseer]

21. Not much

He apparently can only get his kids to endorse him - and Scott Baio.

[La Lioness Priyanka]

22. i'm kicking this for those who are freaking out over the predicted post convention bounce