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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNate Silver: Weak Republican Convention Boost is a "Bad Sign" for Trump
Earlier this week, I wrote that it would be a bad sign for Trump if he cant at least tie Clinton in polls conducted in between the RNC and the DNC. Our now-cast, which is very aggressive and addresses the question of what would happen in a hypothetical election held today, shows Clinton up by about 1 percentage point, so Trump has almost brought the race to a tie, but not quite.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-is-trump-getting-a-convention-bump/
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Nate Silver: Weak Republican Convention Boost is a "Bad Sign" for Trump (Original Post)
Doodley
Jul 2016
OP
6chars
(3,967 posts)1. Time for Hillary to knock it out of the park
A 10 point lead coming out of next week would be about right. Really, the opportunity to establish a decisive contrast is laid at the DNC doorstep on a platter.
MFM008
(19,803 posts)2. how many times have we seen this before???
The polls pointed to a president Romney
or TIED
or Obama ahead by 1
or 2.
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)3. +1,000,000
CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)4. He's bouncing like an egg on the concrete.
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)5. K & R
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin
(107,860 posts)6. YESSSSSSSS!!!!