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Here's how to interpret the new polls showing Donald Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton
Updated by Jeff Stein on July 25, 2016, 10:30 a.m. ETDonald Trump is riding high in the polls, surging past Hillary Clinton to leads in all six of the latest national polls released since Saturday.
That’s good news for Trump. Some wondered if the Republican National Convention last week might not give the Republican nominee the post-convention polling bump most presidential candidates get — but it’s looking like it did.
Even if many observers thought convention looked like a fiasco, Trump’s rise in the polls suggests the RNC convention wasn’t necessarily a disaster in the eyes of those it was aimed at convincing. But polls can be deceiving. Polling tends to go haywire during the conventions every four years: The primaries have ended, the parties are consolidating, vice presidential candidates are picked, and one party tends to get a nonstop focus of media attention.
In fact, polling during the conventions is even less likely to be predictive of the final outcome of the election than polling at both earlier and later times of the year, says Princeton election guru Sam Wang.
more
http://www.vox.com/2016/7/25/12270288/donald-trump-polls-beat-clinton
